UNC falls in NET after win at Florida State

By R.L. Bynum

No. 3 North Carolina’s fifth road victory and fourth Quad 2 victory didn’t help the Tar Heels in the NET rankings. On the contrary, it somehow hurt them.

After the Tar Heels’ 75–68 victory at Florida State, they fell one spot to seventh even though none of the quad classifications for any games on the schedule changed. After Sunday’s games, UNC fell an additional spot to eighth. The Seminoles fell four spots to 86th Sunday and an additional spot to 87th Monday.

Alabama leapfrogged UNC, going from eighth to sixth after a 109–88 home win over unranked LSU (94th in the NET). It showed once again that if you blow out a team, no matter how bad that team is, your NET ranking goes up. Carolina went up five spots in late December after a 105–60 Quad 4 victory over Charleston Southern.

UNC gets another chance at a Quad 2 victory at 7 p.m. Tuesday (ESPN) at Georgia Tech before No. 12 Duke visits the Smith Center at 6:30 Saturday night (ESPN) in a Quad 1 game. Carolina has three other Quad 1 games after that, at Miami on Feb. 10, at Virginia on Feb. 24 and at Duke on March 9.

According to Bracket Matrix, which averages dozens of bracket projections, UNC is projected as the fourth No. 1 seed. The Tar Heels are fifth in KenPom, eighth in Team Rankings and 10th in Bart Torvik’s rankings.


Quadrant 1 (UNC is 6–8): Home games against teams with a NET ranking of 30 or better, neutral-site games against teams ranked 50 or better, and road games against teams ranked 75 or better
Quadrant 2 (UNC is 50): Home 31–75, neutral 51–100, road 76–135
Quadrant 3 (UNC is 8–0): Home 76–160, neutral 101–200, road 135–240
Quadrant 4 (UNC is 5–0): Home 161 or lower, neutral 201 or lower, road 241 or lower


The latest projections of CBS’ Jerry Palm and ESPN’s Joe Lunardi’s, released Friday, have UNC as the No. 1 seed in the West Regional in Los Angeles and playing first- and second-round games in Charlotte.

The NCAA tournament committee uses the NET rankings as one of its metrics to determine who makes the field and how to seed teams. NET rankings will fluctuate throughout the season, and the only quad designation that matters is where your opponents stand on Selection Sunday, not where they ranked when the game was played.



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UNC’s NCAA résumé

NET ranking: 24
WAB (wins above bubble) rank: 21 (5.37)
High NET: 13 (2 days)
Low NET: 30 (4 days)
Average opponent NET: 93
Average NET win: 113
Average NET loss: 35
NET strength of schedule: 31
KenPom: 29
ESPN’s Basketball Power Index (BPI): 30
Bart Torvik T-Rank: 27


UNC quad schedule breakdown

(Through Saturday games)

DateOpponentNET
ranking
Current quad
designation
Outcome
N3Central Arkansas1664Win
N7Kansas211Win
N11Radford2524Win
N14N.C. Central3424Win
N18Navy1364Win
N25(N) St. Bonaventure1433Win
N27(N) Michigan State111Loss
D2At Kentucky281Win
D7Georgetown903Win
D13USC Upstate3034Win
D16ETSU1393Win
D20(N) Ohio State291Win
D22East Carolina2674Win
D30Florida State622Win
J3At SMU371Loss
J10Wake Forest672Win
J14At Stanford611Loss
J17At California681Loss
J21Notre Dame943Win
J24At Virginia121Win
J31At Georgia Tech1693Win
F2Syracuse863Win
F7Duke11Win
F10At Miami321Loss
F14Pittsburgh1043Win
F17At N.C. State361Loss
F21At Syracuse861Win
F23Louisville161Win
F28Virginia Tech552Win
M3Clemson342Win
M7At Duke11Loss
M12(N) Clemson34 1Loss
Quad designations are according to the current NET rankings. The only designation that matters is the designation on Selection Sunday.

DateMonth/dayScoresOpponent/event
(current ranks)
Record
October
24FridayL, 78–76vs. BYU in SLCExhib.
29WednesdayW, 95–53vs. Winston-Salem St.Exhib.
November
3MondayW, 94–54vs. Central Arkansas1–0
7FridayW, 87–74vs. No. 17 Kansas2–0
11TuesdayW, 89–74vs. Radford3–0
14FridayW, 97–53vs. N.C. Central4–0
18TuesdayW, 73–61vs. Navy5–0
Fort Myers Tip-Off
25TuesdayW, 85–70vs. St. Bonaventure6–0
27ThursdayL, 74–58vs. No. 11 Michigan State6–1
DecemberACC/SEC
Men’s Challenge
2TuesdayW, 67–64at Kentucky7–1
—————————
7SundayW, 81–61vs. Georgetown8–1
13SaturdayW, 80–62vs. USC Upstate9–1
16TuesdayW, 77–58vs. ETSU10–1
CBS Sports Classic
in Atlanta
20SaturdayW, 71–70vs. Ohio State11–1
—————————
22MondayW, 99–51vs. East Carolina12–1
30TuesdayW, 79–66vs. Florida State13–1,
1–0 ACC
January
3SaturdayL, 97–83at SMU13–2, 1–1
10SaturdayW, 87–84vs. Wake Forest14–2, 2–1
14WednesdayL, 95–90at Stanford14–3, 2–2
17SaturdayL, 84–78at California14–4, 2–3
21WednesdayW, 91–69vs. Notre Dame15–4, 3–3
24SaturdayW, 85–80at No. 9 Virginia16–4, 4–3
31SaturdayW, 91–75at Georgia Tech17–4, 5–3
February
2MondayW, 87–77vs. Syracuse18–4, 6–3
7SaturdayW, 71–68vs. No. 1 Duke19–4, 7–3
10TuesdayL, 75–66at No. 25 Miami19–5, 7–4
14SaturdayW, 79–65vs. Pittsburgh20–5, 8–4
17TuesdayL, 82–58at N.C. State20–6, 8–5
21SaturdayW, 77–64at Syracuse21–6, 9–5
23MondayW, 77–74vs. Louisville22–6, 10–5
28SaturdayW, 89–82vs. Virginia Tech23–6, 11–5
March
3TuesdayW, 67–63vs. Clemson24–6, 12–5
7SaturdayL, 76–61at No. 1 Duke24–7, 12–6
10–14Tues.-Sat.ACC
tournament
Spectrum Center,
Charlotte
12ThursdayL, 80–79Quarterfinals:
vs. Clemson
24–8
NCAA
tournament
19ThursdayL, 82–78, OTFirst round: vs. VCU
in Greenville, S.C.
24–9

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