Early computer projection has UNC men near top of ranking

By R.L. Bynum

What do the top computer rankings say about the prospects for UNC’s men’s basketball team?

Bart Torvik, whose rankings are one of the three most respected computer rankings, has the Tar Heels moving up from No. 9 in last season’s final ranking to No. 6 in his 2024–25 preseason projection.

Torvik has Houston No. 1, followed by Duke, Iowa State, Kansas and Tennessee, and has two-time reigning national champion UConn No. 12.


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The Tar Heels and Blue Devils are the only ACC teams in his top 20, with No. 29 Miami next, followed by No. 32 Wake Forest, No. 46 Clemson, No. 52 Pittsburgh and No. 55 N.C. State. Boston College has the lowest projection at No. 147.

Torvik has UNC finishing 21–8 overall and 14–6 in the ACC.

In the points above replacement metric (PRPG), fifth-year guard RJ Davis, the reigning ACC Player of the Year and All-American first-team selection, has the highest value at 5.8. The next two highest are transfers: junior Cade Tyson (3.7) and Ven-Allen Lubin (3.2). Sophomore guard Elliot Cadeau and junior Jalen Washington are both at 1.4, with senior Jae’Lyn Withers at 1.3 and junior Seth Trimble at 1.2.

Roster assuming all players with eligibility other than Caleb Wilson, Henri Veesaar and the seven players who entered the transfer portal return, which would put UNC one under the 15-player limit. The class for next season is listed.

No./
Stars
ClassPlayerPos.HgtWgt
5
star
FreshmanMaximo AdamsSF6–7205
3
star
FreshmanMalloy SmithCG6–5190
5
star
FreshmanSayon KeitaC7–0215
4
star
FreshmanKevin ThomasW6–7190
FreshmanAlexandros SamodurovC6–11212
RS freshmanCade Bennerman — WC7–0205
SophomoreNeoklis Avdalas — XG6–9215
SophomoreIsaiah DenisG6–4180
SophomoreMatt Able — YG6–5196
1SeniorTerrence Brown — ZG6–3174
4SeniorJaydon YoungG6–4200
15SeniorJarin Stevenson46–10215
Walk-ons
25JuniorJohn Holbrook46–8230
32SeniorEvan Smith26–1195

W — Northwestern transfer. X — Virginia Tech transfer; Y — N.C. State transfer; Z — Utah transfer

Michael Malone’s coaching staff: Chuck Martin, Bryan Tibaldi, Sean May and Pat Sullivan; Deon Thompson will be a graduate assistant, and Brandon Robinson will reportedly have a support staff position.


Players who left for the transfer portal

PlayerClass next seasonPos.HgtWgtNext
school
Luka BogavacSeniorW6–6215Oklahoma State
James BrownSeniorC6–10240Howard
Derek DixonSophomoreG6–5200Arizona
Kyan EvansSeniorG6–2175Minnesota
Zayden High JuniorC6–10230South Florida
Jonathan PowellJuniorG6–6190Pittsburgh
Ivan MatlekovicJuniorC7–0255

Schedule so far

(Other than the ACC/SEC Challenge, games without links revealed from reporting by Alex Rosinski or Rocco Miller)
(11 of 14 games)
Nov. 2 — vs. Western Carolina
Nov. 6 — vs. Wofford
Nov. 10 — vs. Wyoming
Nov. 13 — vs. Georgia
Nov. 20 — vs. Marshall
Nov. 27 — vs. West Virginia at the Dick Vitale Invitational at Charlotte’s Spectrum Center
Dec. 1 — vs. Arkansas in ACC/SEC Challenge
Dec. 12 — at Georgetown
Dec. 19 — vs. Kentucky in CBS Sports Classic at Madison Square Garden, 2:30 p.m.
Dec. 21 — vs. The Citadel
November or December — vs. Butler

ACC games
Home and away: Duke, Louisville
Home only: California, Georgia Tech, Miami, N.C. State, SMU, Stanford, Virginia
Away only: Boston College, Florida State, Notre Dame, Pitt, Syracuse, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest

Photo via @UNC_Basketball

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