Streaking Heels move up again in NET after decisive Quad 3 win over Cal

By R.L. Bynum

CHAPEL HILL — Quad 3 games will never help your NCAA tournament resume much unless you win by a wide margin, but that’s what North Carolina did on Wednesday night.

The Tar Heels’ 79–53 home win over California moved them up three notches to 34th in the NET rankings, five spots higher than the day after Saturday’s 63–61 win at N.C. State. UNC (12–6, 5–1 ACC) faces a similar scenario at 2:15 on Saturday (The CW) when they meet Stanford in another Quad 3 game.

Coach Hubert Davis has said he doesn’t pay attention to the NET rankings, but Seth Trimble said after the Cal win that the players are conscious of it, and that Assistant Coach Sean May mentioned the NET once to motivate them.

“We really emphasized it once it came down to crunch time; let’s put this team away,” Trimble said. “It’ll look good for the NET. When we start getting lazy in the second half, [me and RJ Davis] kind of re-emphasize it. Nobody emphasizes it too much, but I think we all have back here that we need to play these games out more.”

Four consecutive wins have translated to better bracket projections, with UNC now in all 59 brackets tracked on Bracket Matrix and the consensus projecting UNC as a low No. 9 seed. Get the details of those projections in this story.

The Bears (8–9, 1–5) dropped 13 spots to 123rd with the loss. The Cardinal (11–6, 3–3) fell five places to 84th with an 80–67 loss Wednesday at Wake Forest.

The NCAA tournament committee, which UNC athletics director Bubba Cunningham chairs, uses the NET rankings as one of its metrics to determine who makes the field and how to seed teams. NET rankings will fluctuate throughout the season, and the only quad designation that matters is where your opponents stand on Selection Sunday, not where they ranked when the game was played.


Quadrant 1 (UNC is 4–3; 5 games left): Home games against teams with a NET ranking of 30 or better, neutral-site games against teams ranked 50 or better, and road games against teams ranked 75 or better
Quadrant 2 (UNC is 11; 3 games left): Home 31–75, neutral 51–100, road 76–135
Quadrant 3 (UNC is 6–0; 2 games left): Home 76–160, neutral 101–200, road 135–240
Quadrant 4 (UNC is 6–0; no games left): Home 161 or lower, neutral 201 or lower, road 241 or lower


After Saturday’s game, UNC faces a more formidable challenge at 9 p.m. Tuesday (ESPN) at Wake Forest (13–4, 5–1; 80 in NET) in the final Quad 2 game of the season against a Demon Deacons team that has won four consecutive games.

There’s one more game Carolina can’t afford to lose after that, a Quad 4 home game on Jan. 25 against Boston College (9–8, 1–5; 228) before the schedule ramps up with five consecutive chances to enhance UNC’s resume and possibly stay out of the dreaded No. 8-seed vs. No. 9-seed first-round NCAA game.

The Tar Heels visit Pittsburgh (12–5, 3–3; 27) on Jan. 28, No. 3 Duke (15–2, 7–0; 2) on Feb. 1, host Pitt on Feb. 8, and visit Clemson (14–4, 6–1; 37) on Feb. 10, all four Quad 1 games.

Carolina has two Quad 1 games after that, visiting Florida State (12–5, 3–3; 71) on Feb. 24 and hosting Duke on March 8.

Although UCLA (11–6) has lost four in a row, UNC’s 76–74 win over the Bruins on Dec. 21 in New York is still solidly Quad 1 because their NET ranking is 38. UCLA’s NET would have to fall below 50 for that victor to become Quad 2.


UNC’s NCAA résumé

(Via bracketologists.com)
NET ranking: 25
High NET: 13 (2 days)
Low NET: 30 (4 days)
Average opponent NET: 122
Average NET win: 141
Average NET loss: 44
NET strength of schedule: 50
KenPom: 29
ESPN’s Basketball Power Index (BPI): 32
Bart Torvick T-Rank: 29


UNC quad schedule breakdown

(Through Saturday games)

DateOpponentNET
ranking
Current quad
designation
Outcome
N3Central Arkansas1994Win
N7Kansas141Win
N11Radford2434Win
N14N.C. Central3404Win
N18Navy1704Win
N25(N) St. Bonaventure1463Win
N27(N) Michigan State111Loss
D2At Kentucky281Win
D7Georgetown953Win
D13USC Upstate2864Win
D16ETSU1293Win
D20(N) Ohio State401Win
D22East Carolina2894Win
D30Florida State1023Win
J3At SMU341Loss
J10Wake Forest702Win
J14At Stanford782Loss
J17At California511Loss
J21Notre Dame853Win
J24At Virginia181Win
J31At Georgia Tech1433Win
F2Syracuse732
F7Duke21
F10At Miami391
F14Pittsburgh1143
F17At N.C. State261
F21At Syracuse732
F23Louisville171
F28Virginia Tech562
M3Clemson311
M7At Duke21
Quad designations are according to the current NET rankings. The only designation that matters is the designation on Selection Sunday.

DateMonth/dayTimeOpponent/event
(current ranks)
TV/
record
October
24FridayL, 78–76vs. No. 13 BYU in SLCExhib.
29WednesdayW, 95–53vs. Winston-Salem St.Exhib.
November
3MondayW, 94–54vs. Central Arkansas1–0
7FridayW, 87–74vs. No. 14 Kansas2–0
11TuesdayW, 89–74vs. Radford3–0
14FridayW, 97–53vs. N.C. Central4–0
18TuesdayW, 73–61vs. Navy5–0
Fort Myers Tip-Off
25TuesdayW, 85–70vs. St. Bonaventure6–0
27ThursdayL, 74–58vs. No. 7 Michigan State6–1
DecemberACC/SEC
Men’s Challenge
2TuesdayW, 67–64at Kentucky7–1
—————————
7SundayW, 81–61vs. Georgetown8–1
13SaturdayW, 80–62vs. USC Upstate9–1
16TuesdayW, 77–58vs. ETSU10–1
CBS Sports Classic
in Atlanta
20SaturdayW, 71–70vs. Ohio State11–1
—————————
22MondayW, 99–51vs. East Carolina12–1
30TuesdayW, 79–66vs. Florida State13–1,
1–0 ACC
January
3SaturdayL, 97–83at SMU13–2, 1–1
10SaturdayW, 87–84vs. Wake Forest14–2, 2–1
14WednesdayL, 95–90at Stanford14–3, 2–2
17SaturdayL, 84–78at California14–4, 2–3
21WednesdayW, 91–69vs. Notre Dame15–4, 3–3
24SaturdayW, 85–80at No. 17 Virginia16–4, 4–3
31SaturdayW, 91–75at Georgia Tech17–4, 5–3
February
2Monday7 p.m.vs. SyracuseESPN
7Saturday6:30vs. No. 4 DukeESPN
10Tuesday7 p.m.at MiamiESPN or
ESPN2
14Saturday2 p.m.vs. PittsburghESPN
17Tuesday7 p.m.at N.C. StateESPN or
ESPN2
21Saturday1 p.m.at SyracuseABC
23Monday7 p.m.vs. No. 20 LouisvilleESPN
28Saturday6:30 or 8:30vs. Virginia TechESPN or
ESPN2
March
3Tuesday7 p.m.vs. No. 22 ClemsonESPN or
ESPN2
7Saturday6:30at No. 4 DukeESPN
10–14Tues.-Sat.ACC
tournament
Spectrum Center,
Charlotte

Photo courtesy of UNC Athletics

Leave a Reply