Convincing victory over Pack helps UNC make big jump in NET rankings

By R.L. Bynum

CHAPEL HILL — The only way to help your NCAA tournament resume in a Quad 3 game is to win convincingly, and that’s exactly what North Carolina did with its 97–73 victory on a snowy Wednesday night at the Smith Center over N.C. State.

Carolina, whose NET ranking was 47th after Saturday’s 88–82 win at Syracuse but fell to 50th since then, went up five spots to a NET ranking of 45 after the victory over the Wolfpack. That’s the highest since Feb. 9, the day after UNC’s 67–66 home win over Pittsburgh. After Thursday’s games, though, it slipped to 46th

The NCAA tournament committee, which UNC athletics director Bubba Cunningham chairs, uses the NET rankings as one of its metrics to determine who makes the field and how to seed teams. NET rankings will fluctuate throughout the season, and the only quad designation that matters is where your opponents stand on Selection Sunday, not where they ranked when the game was played.


Quadrant 1 (UNC is 2–1; 9 games left): Home games against teams with a NET ranking of 30 or better, neutral-site games against teams ranked 50 or better, and road games against teams ranked 75 or better
Quadrant 2 (UNC is 10; 6 games left): Home 31–75, neutral 51–100, road 76–135
Quadrant 3 (UNC is 2–0; 4 games left): Home 76–160, neutral 101–200, road 135–240
Quadrant 4 (UNC is 5–0; 1 games left): Home 161 or lower, neutral 201 or lower, road 241 or lower


Whether the Tar Heels are now on a path that can get them into the NCAA field isn’t clear, but Coach Hubert Davis likes the progress.

“Turning a corner? I don’t know, but I know that we played well,” he said. “I know that our practices over the last week have been very spirited, and it’s been the best practices we’ve had all season in terms of competitiveness. And we’ll do that Thursday and Friday in preparation for a really good Virginia team.”

RJ Davis says that the team saw what it could do with the proper intensity.

“We all took it upon ourselves to compete and we saw what happened,” he said. “When we did that we were able to get stops. You should have fun competing.”

After Thursday’s games, only four of 103 bracket projections listed on Bracket Matrix included Carolina.

In Tuesday projections, ESPN’s Joe Lunardi and CBS’ Jerry Palm had UNC as the fourth team in their “First four out” lists.

After Saturday’s Quad 3 home game (ESPN2) at 4 p.m. against Virginia (13–13, 6–9; NET ranking of 105), UNC gets a better chance to improve its NCAA tournament resume with Monday’s  7 p.m. visit (ESPN) to Florida State (16–10, 7–8; NET ranking of 88) for its last Quad 2 game of the regular season.

Following the game with the Seminoles, the Tar Heels can’t afford losses at home on Saturday, March 1, to Miami (6–20, 2–13; 210th in the NET) in a Quad 4 game or on Tuesday, March 4, at Virginia Tech (11–15, 6–9; 167th) in a Quad 3 game before the regular-season final on Saturday, March 8 against No. 3 Duke (23–3, 15–1; 2nd).


UNC’s NCAA résumé

(Via bracketologists.com)
NET ranking: 15
High NET: 13 (2 days)
Low NET: 26 (2 days)
Average opponent NET: 151
Average NET win: 165
Average NET loss: 10
NET strength of schedule: 92
KenPom: 22
ESPN’s Basketball Power Index (BPI): 34
Bart Torvick T-Rank: 24


UNC quad schedule breakdown

(Through Wednesday’s games)

OpponentNET
ranking
Current quad
designation
Outcome
Central Arkansas2404Win
Kansas131Win
Radford3014Win
N.C. Central3434Win
Navy2084Win
(N) St. Bonaventure972Win
(N) Michigan State101Loss
At Kentucky281Win
Georgetown1113Win
USC Upstate1984Win
ETSU1093Win
(N) Ohio State471
East Carolina2884
Florida State1483
At SMU431
Wake Forest592
At Stanford982
At California631
Notre Dame652
At Virginia211
Georgia Tech1893
Syracuse963
Duke21
At Miami331
Pittsburgh1543
At N.C. State341
At Syracuse962
Louisville171
Virginia Tech582
Clemson322
At Duke21
Quad designations are according to the current NET rankings. The only designation that matters is the designation on Selection Sunday.

TeamLeagueOverallNET*
No. 3 Duke0–011–02
California0–010–163
No. 12 North Carolina0–010–115
No. 23 Virginia0–09–121
Miami0–010–233
Virginia Tech0–010–258
No. 11 Louisville0–09–217
SMU0–09–243
Stanford0–08–298
Clemson0–09–332
Notre Dame0–09–365
Wake Forest0–09–359
N.C. State0–08–434
Georgia Tech0–07–4189
Syracuse0–07–496
Pittsburgh0–06–6154
Boston College0–05–6177
Florida State0–05–6148

* — Through Wednesday games
Tuesday’s results
No. 12 North Carolina 77, East Tennessee State 58
No. 3 Duke 97, Lipscomb 73
No. 20 Tennessee 83, No. 11 Louisville 62
Dayton 97, Florida State 69
Clemson 68, South Carolina 61
Miami 98, Florida International 81
Georgia Tech 87, Marist 76
Wednesday’s results
N.C. State 108, Texas Southern 72
Pittsburgh 103, Binghamton 6
Syracuse 76, Mercyhurst 62
Wake Forest 71, Longwood 68
UT Arlington at Stanford, 10 p.m., ACCN Extra
Friday’s games
Mississippi Valley State at Florida State, 7 p.m., ACCN Extra
Morgan State at California, 10 p.m., ACCN Extra
Saturday’s games
Montana at No. 11 Louisville, noon, ACCN Extra
Lafayette at Georgia Tech, 2 p.m., ACCN Extra
Elon at Virginia Tech, 2 p.m., ACCN Extra
Ohio State vs. No. 12 North Carolina at CBS Sports Classic in Atlanta, 3 p.m., CBS
Northeastern at Syracuse, 4 p.m., ACCN Extra
Maryland at No. 23 Virginia, 6 p.m., ESPN
No. 3 Duke at No. 16 Texas Tech, 8 p.m., ESPN
Stanford at Colorado, 8 p.m., ESPNU
Sunday’s games
Penn State vs. Pittsburgh in Hershey, Pa., noon, Big Ten Network
Ole Miss vs. N.C. State in Greensboro, 1 p.m., ESPN
No. 13 Vanderbilt at Wake Forest, 1 p.m., The CW
Purdue Ft. Wayne at Notre Dame, 2 p.m., ACCN Extra
Central Arkansas at SMU, 2 p.m., ACCN Extra
Cincinnati vs. Clemson in Greenville, S.C., 3 p.m., ESPN
North Florida at Miami, 4 p.m., ACC Network
Columbia at California, 5 p.m., ACCN Extra
Monday’s games
American at Virginia, 6 p.m., ACCN Extra
Jacksonville at Florida State, 7 p.m., ACCN Extra
Stonehill at Syracuse, 7 p.m., ACCN Extra
Fairleigh Dickinson at Boston College, 7 p.m., ACCN Extra
East Carolina at No. 12 North Carolina, 8 p.m., ACC Network


DateMonth/dayTimeOpponent/event
(current ranks)
TV/
record
October
24FridayL, 78–76vs. No. 10 BYU in SLCExhib.
29WednesdayW, 95–53vs. Winston-Salem St.Exhib.
November
3MondayW, 94–54vs. Central Arkansas1–0
7FridayW, 87–74vs. No. 17 Kansas2–0
11TuesdayW, 89–74vs. Radford3–0
14FridayW, 97–53vs. N.C. Central4–0
18TuesdayW, 73–61vs. Navy5–0
Fort Myers Tip-Off
25TuesdayW, 85–70vs. St. Bonaventure6–0
27ThursdayL, 74–58vs. No. 9 Michigan State6–1
DecemberACC/SEC
Men’s Challenge
2TuesdayW, 67–64at Kentucky7–1
—————————
7SundayW, 81–61vs. Georgetown8–1
13SaturdayW, 80–62vs. USC Upstate9–1
16TuesdayW, 77–58vs. East Tennessee
State
10–1
CBS Sports Classic
in Atlanta
20Saturday3 p.m.vs. Ohio StateCBS
—————————
22Monday8 p.m.vs. East CarolinaACCN
30Tuesday7 p.m.vs. Florida StateESPN2
January
3Saturday2:15at SMUThe CW
10Saturday6 p.m.vs. Wake ForestACCN
14Wednesday9 p.m.at StanfordACCN
17Saturday4 p.m.at CaliforniaACCN
21Wednesday7 p.m.vs. Notre DameESPN2
24Saturday2 or 2:30at No. 23 VirginiaESPN or
ESPNU
31Saturday2 p.m.at Georgia TechACCN
February
2Monday7 p.m.vs. SyracuseESPN
7Saturday6:30vs. No. 3 DukeESPN
10Tuesday7 p.m.at MiamiESPN or
ESPN2
14Saturday2 p.m.vs. PittsburghESPN
17Tuesday7 p.m.at N.C. StateESPN or
ESPN2
21Saturday1 p.m.at SyracuseABC
23Monday7 p.m.vs. No. 11 LouisvilleESPN
28Saturday6:30 or 8:30vs. Virginia TechESPN or
ESPN2
March
3Tuesday7 p.m.vs. ClemsonESPN or
ESPN2
7Saturday6:30at No. 3 DukeESPN
10–14Tues.-Sat.ACC
tournament
Spectrum Center,
Charlotte

Photo courtesy of UNC Athletics

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