Convincing victory over Pack helps UNC make big jump in NET rankings

By R.L. Bynum

CHAPEL HILL — The only way to help your NCAA tournament resume in a Quad 3 game is to win convincingly, and that’s exactly what North Carolina did with its 97–73 victory on a snowy Wednesday night at the Smith Center over N.C. State.

Carolina, whose NET ranking was 47th after Saturday’s 88–82 win at Syracuse but fell to 50th since then, went up five spots to a NET ranking of 45 after the victory over the Wolfpack. That’s the highest since Feb. 9, the day after UNC’s 67–66 home win over Pittsburgh. After Thursday’s games, though, it slipped to 46th

The NCAA tournament committee, which UNC athletics director Bubba Cunningham chairs, uses the NET rankings as one of its metrics to determine who makes the field and how to seed teams. NET rankings will fluctuate throughout the season, and the only quad designation that matters is where your opponents stand on Selection Sunday, not where they ranked when the game was played.


Quadrant 1 (UNC is 6–8): Home games against teams with a NET ranking of 30 or better, neutral-site games against teams ranked 50 or better, and road games against teams ranked 75 or better
Quadrant 2 (UNC is 50): Home 31–75, neutral 51–100, road 76–135
Quadrant 3 (UNC is 8–0): Home 76–160, neutral 101–200, road 135–240
Quadrant 4 (UNC is 5–0): Home 161 or lower, neutral 201 or lower, road 241 or lower


Whether the Tar Heels are now on a path that can get them into the NCAA field isn’t clear, but Coach Hubert Davis likes the progress.

“Turning a corner? I don’t know, but I know that we played well,” he said. “I know that our practices over the last week have been very spirited, and it’s been the best practices we’ve had all season in terms of competitiveness. And we’ll do that Thursday and Friday in preparation for a really good Virginia team.”

RJ Davis says that the team saw what it could do with the proper intensity.

“We all took it upon ourselves to compete and we saw what happened,” he said. “When we did that we were able to get stops. You should have fun competing.”

After Thursday’s games, only four of 103 bracket projections listed on Bracket Matrix included Carolina.

In Tuesday projections, ESPN’s Joe Lunardi and CBS’ Jerry Palm had UNC as the fourth team in their “First four out” lists.

After Saturday’s Quad 3 home game (ESPN2) at 4 p.m. against Virginia (13–13, 6–9; NET ranking of 105), UNC gets a better chance to improve its NCAA tournament resume with Monday’s  7 p.m. visit (ESPN) to Florida State (16–10, 7–8; NET ranking of 88) for its last Quad 2 game of the regular season.

Following the game with the Seminoles, the Tar Heels can’t afford losses at home on Saturday, March 1, to Miami (6–20, 2–13; 210th in the NET) in a Quad 4 game or on Tuesday, March 4, at Virginia Tech (11–15, 6–9; 167th) in a Quad 3 game before the regular-season final on Saturday, March 8 against No. 3 Duke (23–3, 15–1; 2nd).


UNC’s NCAA résumé

NET ranking: 24
WAB (wins above bubble) rank: 21 (5.37)
High NET: 13 (2 days)
Low NET: 30 (4 days)
Average opponent NET: 93
Average NET win: 113
Average NET loss: 35
NET strength of schedule: 31
KenPom: 29
ESPN’s Basketball Power Index (BPI): 30
Bart Torvik T-Rank: 27


UNC quad schedule breakdown

(Through Saturday games)

DateOpponentNET
ranking
Current quad
designation
Outcome
N3Central Arkansas1664Win
N7Kansas211Win
N11Radford2524Win
N14N.C. Central3424Win
N18Navy1364Win
N25(N) St. Bonaventure1433Win
N27(N) Michigan State111Loss
D2At Kentucky281Win
D7Georgetown903Win
D13USC Upstate3034Win
D16ETSU1393Win
D20(N) Ohio State291Win
D22East Carolina2674Win
D30Florida State622Win
J3At SMU371Loss
J10Wake Forest672Win
J14At Stanford611Loss
J17At California681Loss
J21Notre Dame943Win
J24At Virginia121Win
J31At Georgia Tech1693Win
F2Syracuse863Win
F7Duke11Win
F10At Miami321Loss
F14Pittsburgh1043Win
F17At N.C. State361Loss
F21At Syracuse861Win
F23Louisville161Win
F28Virginia Tech552Win
M3Clemson342Win
M7At Duke11Loss
M12(N) Clemson34 1Loss
Quad designations are according to the current NET rankings. The only designation that matters is the designation on Selection Sunday.

TeamLeagueOverallNET*WAB*
No. 1 Duke17–129–212
No. 10 Virginia15–327–41311
Miami13–524–73228
No. 19 North Carolina12–624–72319
Clemson12–622–93633
No. 24 Louisville11–722–91425
N.C. State10–819–123545
Florida State10–817–146974
California9–921–106549
Stanford9–920–115951
SMU8–1019–123950
Virginia Tech8–1019–125352
Wake Forest7–1116–156481
Syracuse6–1215–168392
Pittsburgh5–1312–19109146
Notre Dame4–1413–1893121
Boston College4–1411–20159217
Georgia Tech2–1611–20167210

* — Through Sunday games
Saturday’s results
No. 1 Duke 76, No. 19 North Carolina 61
Boston College 77, Notre Dame 69
Clemson 79, Georgia Tech 76
No. 24 Louisville 92, Miami 89
Florida State 92, SMU 78
Stanford 85, N.C. State 84
Wake Forest 80, California 73
Pittsburgh 71, Syracuse 69, OT
END OF REGULAR SEASON
ACC tournament
Spectrum Center | Charlotte
Tuesday through Saturday


DateMonth/dayScoresOpponent/event
(current ranks)
Record
October
24FridayL, 78–76vs. BYU in SLCExhib.
29WednesdayW, 95–53vs. Winston-Salem St.Exhib.
November
3MondayW, 94–54vs. Central Arkansas1–0
7FridayW, 87–74vs. No. 17 Kansas2–0
11TuesdayW, 89–74vs. Radford3–0
14FridayW, 97–53vs. N.C. Central4–0
18TuesdayW, 73–61vs. Navy5–0
Fort Myers Tip-Off
25TuesdayW, 85–70vs. St. Bonaventure6–0
27ThursdayL, 74–58vs. No. 11 Michigan State6–1
DecemberACC/SEC
Men’s Challenge
2TuesdayW, 67–64at Kentucky7–1
—————————
7SundayW, 81–61vs. Georgetown8–1
13SaturdayW, 80–62vs. USC Upstate9–1
16TuesdayW, 77–58vs. ETSU10–1
CBS Sports Classic
in Atlanta
20SaturdayW, 71–70vs. Ohio State11–1
—————————
22MondayW, 99–51vs. East Carolina12–1
30TuesdayW, 79–66vs. Florida State13–1,
1–0 ACC
January
3SaturdayL, 97–83at SMU13–2, 1–1
10SaturdayW, 87–84vs. Wake Forest14–2, 2–1
14WednesdayL, 95–90at Stanford14–3, 2–2
17SaturdayL, 84–78at California14–4, 2–3
21WednesdayW, 91–69vs. Notre Dame15–4, 3–3
24SaturdayW, 85–80at No. 9 Virginia16–4, 4–3
31SaturdayW, 91–75at Georgia Tech17–4, 5–3
February
2MondayW, 87–77vs. Syracuse18–4, 6–3
7SaturdayW, 71–68vs. No. 1 Duke19–4, 7–3
10TuesdayL, 75–66at No. 25 Miami19–5, 7–4
14SaturdayW, 79–65vs. Pittsburgh20–5, 8–4
17TuesdayL, 82–58at N.C. State20–6, 8–5
21SaturdayW, 77–64at Syracuse21–6, 9–5
23MondayW, 77–74vs. Louisville22–6, 10–5
28SaturdayW, 89–82vs. Virginia Tech23–6, 11–5
March
3TuesdayW, 67–63vs. Clemson24–6, 12–5
7SaturdayL, 76–61at No. 1 Duke24–7, 12–6
10–14Tues.-Sat.ACC
tournament
Spectrum Center,
Charlotte
12ThursdayL, 80–79Quarterfinals:
vs. Clemson
24–8
NCAA
tournament
19ThursdayL, 82–78, OTFirst round: vs. VCU
in Greenville, S.C.
24–9

Photo courtesy of UNC Athletics

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