When does UNC’s bubble competition play and how can tournament games help them?

By R.L. Bynum

CHARLOTTE — Given its small margin of error as a bubble resident, North Carolina can only do what it can control to make the NCAA tournament.

The consensus is that the Tar Heels (20–12), who are 40th in the NET rankings, probably need to beat Notre Dame (14–17), a 55–54 Tuesday winner over Pittsburgh, at 2:30 in Wednesday’s second round of the ACC tournament, then knock off Wake Forest (21–10) at 2:30 in Thursday’s quarterfinals and No. 1 Duke (28–3) at 7 p.m. in Friday’s semifinals to assure that they make the field.

Short of that, UNC will have to get help from the other teams battling in the bubble. Doc Kennedy provided a good rundown of the Tar Heels’ competition to make the field.

One problem for Carolina is that Duke would be its first Quad 1 chance in Charlotte. Notre Dame, which moved to 99th in the NET after the win over Pitt, is a Quad 2 game and Wake Forest is 69th in the NET, making that a Quad 2 game.

Three teams battling for NCAA berths — Oklahoma, Indiana and Texas — could get multiple Quad 1 chances in their league tournament this week.

Here’s a rundown of when those other teams play and who to cheer against if you are a Tar Heels fan, based on Joe Lunardi’s ESPN projection of the “last four in” and the “first four out.”

First four in

19–12, 6–12 SEC; NET: 45; BPI: 45; SOR: 41; WAB: 35

The No. 14-seed Sooners play No. 11-seed Georgia (20–11; 30th in the NET) in a Quad 1 game at 9:30 p.m. Wednesday (SEC Network) at the SEC tournament in Nashville, Tenn

A win advances Oklahoma to a second-round game at 9:30 p.m. Thursday against No. 6-seed and 15th-ranked Kentucky (21–10; 12th in the NET) in another Quad 1 game, with a 9:30 p.m. Friday quarterfinal matchup against No. 3-seed and fifth-ranked Alabama (24–7; 6th in the NET) after that if the Sooners get that far, which would also be a Quad 1 game.

19–12, 10–10 Big Ten; NET: 52, BPI: 52; SOR: 47; WAB: 44
The Hoosiers play in the second round of the Big Ten tournament in Indianapolis at noon Thursday (Big Ten Network) as the No. 9 seed against No. 5 and 18th-ranked Wisconsin (23–8; 19th in the NET) in a Quad 1 game. A win would advance the Hoosiers to a noon Friday game against No. 1-seed and 7th-ranked Michigan State (26–5; 10th in the NET) in another Quad 1 game.

21–10; 13–7 Big East; NET: 44; BPI: 39; SOR: 40; WAB: 46

The Musketeers, the No. 4 seed in the Big East tournament at Madison Square Garden, face No. 5-seed and 25th-ranked Marquette (25th in NET; 22–9) at 2:30 p.m. Thursday (Peacock) Quad 1 game in the quarterfinals.

17–14, 9–11 Big Ten; NET: 36, BPI: 35; SOR: 51; WAB: 49
The Buckeyes play a first-round game at 6 p.m. Wednesday against No. 15 seed Iowa (16–15; 65th in the NET) in a Quad 2 game. A win advances Ohio State to a 6:30 Thursday second-round game against No. 7-seed and 24th-ranked Illinois (20–11; 15th in the NET) in a Quad 1 game, and the Buckeyes would face No. 4-seed UCLA (22–9; 24th in NET) in Friday’s quarterfinals in another Quad 1 game if they get that far.

First four out

North Carolina is second on this list.

21–9, 14–6 Mountain West; NET: 47; BPI: 53; SOR: 87; WAB: 55
The No. 5-seed Broncos face No. 4-seed San Diego State (21–8; 51st in the NET) at 5:30 p.m. Thursday Quad 2 quarterfinal in the Mountain West tournament in Las Vegas. With a win, Boise State would play a 9:30 p.m. semifinal game against the 3 p.m. Thursday quarterfinal winner. In that game, No. 1-seed New Mexico (25–6; 41 in NET; would be a Quad 1 game) faces the winner of Wednesday’s 2 p.m. first-round game between No. 8 San Jose State (14–18; 51st; Quad 2) and No. 9 Wyoming (12–19; 194; Quad 3).

17–14, 6–12 SEC; NET: 42; BPI: 36; SOR: 59; WAB: 52
The No. 13-seed Longhorns play No. 12-seed Vanderbilt (20–11; 43rd in the NET) in a Quad 1 first-round SEC tournament game at 3:30 p.m. Wednesday (SEC Network). With a win, Texas would face No. 5-seed and 14th ranked Texas A&M (22–9; 17th in the NET) in a Quad 1 second-round game at 3:30 p.m. Thursday. With a win, it would face a 3:30 quarterfinal matchup Friday against No. 4-seed and 8th-ranked Tennessee (25–6; 5th in the NET) — also a Quad 1 game — if the Longhorns get that far.

22–9, 16–4 Mountain West; NET: 54; BPI: 56; SOR: 58; WAB: 55
The No. 2-seed Rams play in a 9 p.m. quarterfinal on Thursday against the winner of the 4:30 first-round game between No. 7-seed Nevada (16–15; 79th in NET; would be a Quad 2 game) and No. 10-seed Fresno State (6–25; 278th in the NET; would be a Quad 4 game.


ACC tournament

Spectrum Center | Charlotte
Tuesday’s first round
No. 12 Notre Dame 55, No. 13 Pittsburgh 54
No. 15 California 82, No. 10 Virginia Tech 73, 2 OTs
No. 14 Syracuse 66, No. 11 Florida State 62
Wednesday’s second round
No. 8 Georgia Tech (16–15) vs. No. 9 Virginia (15–16), noon, ESPN
Notre Dame (15–17) vs. No. 5 North Carolina (20–12), 2:30, ESPN
California (14–18) vs. No. 7 Stanford (19–12), 7 p.m., ESPN2
Syracuse (14–18) vs. No. 6 SMU (22–9), 9:30, ESPNU
Thursday’s quarterfinals
Ga. Tech-Virginia winner vs. No. 1 (and No. 1-ranked) Duke (28–3), noon, ESPN/2
Notre Dame-UNC winner vs. No. 4 Wake Forest (21–10), 2:30, ESPN/2
Cal-Stanford winner vs. No. 2 (and No. 13-ranked) Louisville (25–6), 7 p.m., ESPN/2
Syracuse-SMU winner vs. No. 3 (and No. 10-ranked) Clemson (26–5), 9:30, ESPN/2
Friday’s semifinals
Thursday afternoon winners, 7 p.m., ESPN/2
Thursday evening winners, 9:30, ESPN/2
Saturday’s championship
Semifinal winners, 8:30, ESPN


DateMonth/dayTime/
score
Opponent/event
(current ranks)
TV/
record
October
15TuesdayW, 84–76at No. 16 MemphisExhibition
27SundayW, 127–63vs. Johnson C. SmithExhibition
November
4MondayW, 90–76vs. Elon1–0
8FridayL, 92–89at Kansas1–1
15FridayW, 107–55vs. American2–1
22FridayW, 85–69at Hawai’i3–1
Maui Invitational
25MondayW, 92–90Dayton4–1
26TuesdayL, 85–72No. 3 Auburn4–2
27WednesdayL, 94–91, OTNo. 7 Michigan State4–3
DecemberACC/SEC
Men’s Challenge
4WednesdayL, 94–79vs. No. 5 Alabama4–4
—————————
7SaturdayW, 68–65vs. Georgia Tech5–4,
1–0 ACC
14SaturdayW, 93–67vs. LaSalle6–4
Jumpman Invitational
in Charlotte
17TuesdayL, 90–84No. 4 Florida6–5
CBS Sports Classic
at Madison Square Garden
21SaturdayW, 76–74UCLA7–5
—————————
29SundayW, 97–81vs. Campbell8–5
January
1WednesdayL, 83–70at No. 13 Louisville8–6, 1–1
4SaturdayW, 74–73at Notre Dame9–6, 2–1
7TuesdayW, 82–67vs. SMU10–6, 3–1
11SaturdayW, 63–61at N.C. State11–6, 4–1
15WednesdayW, 79–53vs. California12–6, 5–1
18SaturdayL, 72–71vs. Stanford12–7, 5–2
21TuesdayL, 67–66at Wake Forest12–8, 5–3
25SaturdayW, 102–96, OTvs. Boston College13–8, 6–3
28TuesdayL, 73–65at Pittsburgh13–9, 6–4
February
1SaturdayL, 87–70at No. 1 Duke13–10, 6–5
8SaturdayW, 67–66vs. Pittsburgh14–10, 7–5
10MondayL, 85–65at No. 10 Clemson14–11, 7–6
15SaturdayW, 88–82at Syracuse15–11, 8–6
19WednesdayW, 97–73vs. N.C. State16–11, 9–6
22SaturdayW, 81–66vs. Virginia17–11, 10–6
24MondayW, 96–85at Florida State18–11, 11–6
March
1SaturdayW, 92–73vs. Miami19–11, 12–6
4TuesdayW, 91–59at Virginia Tech20–11, 13–6
8SaturdayL, 82–69vs. No. 1 Duke20–12, 13–7
ACC tournament
Spectrum Center, Charlotte
12Wednesday2:302nd-round:
vs. Notre Dame
ESPN
13Thursday2:30Quarterfinal (with win):
vs. Wake Forest
ESPN or
ESPN2

Photo courtesy of the ACC

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