How do UNC’s incoming transfers rate compared to players who transferred out?

By R.L. Bynum

College basketball is becoming increasingly similar to pro basketball in many ways, so why not examine transfer portal transactions in the same light?

Carolina lost five players to the men’s basketball transfer portal and brought in five. What if you looked at that as a five-for-five trade? How did the Tar Heels fare?

There are other intangible factors at play, but you can compare the groups by using the player rating that 247Sports assigns to all players who enter the transfer portal.

This doesn’t account for five-star freshman wing Caleb Wilson, whose 99 rating is higher than any of the 10 players in this transfer discussion. However, the metric suggests that the trade would have been fairly even, with UNC coming up on the short end.

While the five players who transferred out have an average rating of 93.4, the five players transferring to UNC have an average rating of 92.2. The margin narrows if you only look at the top four players in each group — the outgoing group would be at 94 compared to 93.25 for the incoming group.

That doesn’t account for UNC going from an undersized center in 6–8 Ven-Allen Lubin to a taller center with a higher ceiling in 7–0 Arizona transfer center Henri Veesaar.


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Here’s how that group of five players would be matched up ratings-wise, going from highest to lowest:
— St. John’s-bound guard Ian Jackson is at 98 while Veesaar (top photo) is at 96.
— Michigan-bound point guard Elliot Cadeau is at 94, while Colorado State point guard transfer Kyan Evans is at 93.
— The next two players in both groups are at 92: Vanderbilt-bound Jalen Washington, N.C. State-bound Lubin, Alabama transfer Jarin Stevenson and West Virginia transfer Jonathan Powell.
— The lowest-rated players in the two groups are Cade Tyson, who will play at Minnesota, with a 91, and Virginia Tech transfer Jaron Young at 88.

Team-wise, 247Sports ranked Carolina’s nine newcomers, including the three freshmen and Luca Bogavac, as the No. 7 group of newcomers in the country.

Where are the former Tar Heels’ teams in that ranking? Cadeau’s Wolverines are No. 10, Lubin’s Wolfpack are No. 14, Jackson’s Red Storm are No. 21, Washington’s Commodores are No. 60 and Tyson’s Gophers are No. 77.


No.ClassPlayerPos.HgtWgt
25FreshmanMaximo Adams
(MAX-ih-mo)
F6–7220
30FreshmanMalloy SmithG6–5180
21FreshmanSayon Keita
(SIGH-on KAY-tuh)
C7–0205
5FreshmanKevin ThomasW6–6205
35SophomoreCade Bennerman — UC7–0205
17SophomoreNeo Avdalas — W
(NEE-oh ahv-DOLL-lus)
G6–9220
2SophomoreIsaiah DenisG6–4185
3SophomoreMatt Able — XG6–5200
22JuniorAlexandros Samodurov
(Alex-ANN-drose
SAH-muh-DUHR-off)
C6–11225
1SeniorTerrence Brown — YG6–3180
4SeniorJaydon Young
(JAY-din)
G6–4200
15SeniorJarin Stevenson
(JARE-in)
F6–10220
14GraduateAngelo Brizzi — Z
(BRIZZ-ee)
G6–3200
54GraduateCameron Fens — V
(Fenz)
C7–0255
Walk-ons
99JuniorJohn Holbrook — SAF6–8230
32SeniorEvan SmithG6–1200

V — South Dakota transfer; U — Northwestern transfer; W — Virginia Tech transfer; X — N.C. State transfer; Y — Utah transfer; Z — Buffalo transfer; SA — Holbrook is a designated student-athlete, so he doesn’t count against UNC’s 15-player limit.

Coach Michael Malone’s coaching staff — Associate head coach Chuck Martin; assistant coaches Bryan Tibaldi (tih-BALL-dee), Sean May, Jorge Sanz (HOR-hey sahnth), Pat Sullivan and Brandon Robinson; Director of player development Deon Thompson.


Players who entered transfer portal

PlayerClass next seasonPos.HgtWgtNext
school
Luka BogavacSeniorW6–6215Oklahoma State
James BrownSeniorC6–10240Howard
Derek DixonSophomoreG6–5200Arizona
Kyan EvansSeniorG6–2175Minnesota
Zayden High JuniorC6–10230South Florida
Jonathan PowellJuniorG6–6190Pittsburgh
Ivan MatlekovicJuniorC7–0255Pacific

UNC schedule

DateMonth/dayOpponent/event
(final ranks)
OctoberExhibitions
97 p.m. Fridayvs. USC
in Greensboro
185 p.m. Sundayvs. Indiana
in Indianapolis
27Tuesdayvs. Charlotte
NovemberRegular season
2Mondayvs. Western Carolina
6Fridayvs. Wofford
10Tuesdayvs. Wyoming
13Fridayvs. Georgia
20Fridayvs. Marshall
23Mondayvs. Monmouth
27FridayDick Vitale Invitational
vs. West Virginia
in Charlotte
December
1TuesdayACC/SEC Challenge
vs. No. 13 Arkansas
6Sundayvs. Butler
12Saturday
afternoon
at Georgetown
157 p.m. TuesdayTobacco Road Classic
vs. N.C. State
in Greensboro
192:30 Saturday,
CBS
CBS Sports Classic
vs. Kentucky
in New York
21Mondayvs. The Citadel
30Wednesdayvs. California
January
2Saturdayat Boston College
57 p.m. Tuesdayat Louisville
9Saturdayvs. N.C. State
13Wednesdayat Florida State
16Saturdayvs. Stanford
19Tuesdayvs. No. 17 Virginia
23Saturdayat Syracuse
26Tuesdayvs. SMU
30SaturdayNashville Hoops Showdown
vs. No. 5 Illinois
in Nashville, Tenn.
February
2Tuesdayat Notre Dame
6Saturdayvs. Georgia Tech
8Monday,
7 p.m, ESPN
vs. Louisville
13Saturdayat No. 4 Duke
20Saturdayat Wake Forest
22Monday,
7 p.m, ESPN
vs. No. 24 Miami
27Saturdayat Virginia Tech
March
2Tuesdayat Pittsburgh
6Saturdayvs. No. 4 Duke
9–13Tues.-Sat.ACC tournament
in Greensboro

Photo via @UNC_Basketball

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