Heels eye Quad 1 boost at SMU after FSU win drops NET ranking

By R.L. Bynum

North Carolina’s third Quad 3 win of the season on Tuesday against Florida State didn’t help its NCAA resume, but the Tar Heels will get a golden chance in Dallas on Saturday to bolster it.

The No. 12 Tar Heels (13–1, 1–0 ACC) fell two spots in the NET rankings to 18 after their 79–66 victory over the Seminoles, who jumped two spots to 126.

SMU (11–2, 0–0; 31 NET ranking) will open its ACC schedule against UNC in a packed Moody Coliseum at 2:15 p.m. Saturday (The CW) in the first of eight remaining Quad 1 games for Carolina.

That will be one of three Quad 1 games in January, all on the road, in addition to the Jan. 17 visit to California (12–2, 0–1; 56) and the Jan. 24 game at Virginia (11–1, 0–0; 26).

The consensus of 48 bracket projections on Bracket Matrix has UNC as the second-highest No. 4 seed in the NCAA tournament. Fourteen projections have the Tar Heels as a No. 3 seed, and seven have them as a No. 5 seed. ESPN’s Joe Lunardi has UNC as a No. 4 seed playing first- and second-round games in San Diego.

The NCAA tournament committee uses the NET rankings as one of its metrics to determine who makes the field and how to seed teams. NET rankings will fluctuate throughout the season, and the only quad designation that matters is where your opponents stand on Selection Sunday, not where they ranked when the game was played.


Quadrant 1 (UNC is 3–1; 8 games left): Home games against teams with a NET ranking of 30 or better, neutral-site games against teams ranked 50 or better, and road games against teams ranked 75 or better
Quadrant 2 (UNC is 10; 6 games left): Home 31–75, neutral 51–100, road 76–135
Quadrant 3 (UNC is 3–0; 3 games left): Home 76–160, neutral 101–200, road 135–240
Quadrant 4 (UNC is 6–0; no games left): Home 161 or lower, neutral 201 or lower, road 241 or lower


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The good news for UNC out of Tuesday’s first four conference games is that Notre Dame’s 47–40 victory over Stanford moved the Irish up 13 spots in the NET to 68. That shifted the Tar Heels’ Jan. 21 home game with Notre Dame (10–4, 1–0) from a Quad 3 game to Quad 2.

That means that all but three of UNC’s remaining games are either Quad 1 or Quad 2. UNC has three remaining games currently classified as under Quad 3: The Jan. 31 game at Georgia Tech (9–4, 0–0; 178), the Feb. 2 home game against Syracuse (9–4, 0–0; 85) and the Feb. 14 home game against Pittsburgh (7–7, 0–1; 116).


UNC’s NCAA résumé

(Via bracketologists.com)
NET ranking: 18
High NET: 13 (2 days)
Low NET: 26 (2 days)
Average opponent NET: 156
Average NET win: 167
Average NET loss: 14
NET strength of schedule: 89
KenPom: 22
ESPN’s Basketball Power Index (BPI): 28
Bart Torvick T-Rank: 21


UNC quad schedule breakdown

(Through Tuesday games)

DateOpponentNET
ranking
Current quad
designation
Outcome
N3Central Arkansas2294Win
N7Kansas171Win
N11Radford2894Win
N14N.C. Central3514Win
N18Navy2104Win
N25(N) St. Bonaventure1002Win
N27(N) Michigan State141Loss
D2At Kentucky271Win
D7Georgetown1273Win
D13USC Upstate2174Win
D16ETSU1303Win
D20(N) Ohio State421Win
D22East Carolina3024Win
D30Florida State1263Win
J3At SMU311
J10Wake Forest702
J14At Stanford932
J17At California561
J21Notre Dame682
J24At Virginia261
J31At Georgia Tech1783
F2Syracuse853
F7Duke21
F10At Miami371
F14Pittsburgh1163
F17At N.C. State321
F21At Syracuse852
F23Louisville111
F28Virginia Tech672
M3Clemson382
M7At Duke21
Quad designations are according to the current NET rankings. The only designation that matters is the designation on Selection Sunday.

TeamLeagueOverallNET*
No. 12 North Carolina1–013–118
Miami1–012–237
No. 16 Louisville1–011–211
Notre Dame1–010–468
No. 6 Duke0–011–13
No. 21 Virginia0–011–126
SMU0–011–231
Virginia Tech0–011–267
Clemson0–010–338
Georgia Tech0–09–4178
N.C. State0–09–432
Syracuse0–09–485
Wake Forest0–09–470
Boston College0–07–6183
California0–112–256
Stanford0–111–393
Florida State0–17–7126
Pittsburgh0–17–7116

* — Through Tuesday games
Tuesday’s results
No. 12 North Carolina 79, Florida State 66
Miami 76, Pittsburgh 69
No. 16 Louisville 90, California 70
Notre Dame 47, Stanford 40
Wednesday’s games
Wake Forest at N.C. State, noon, ESPN2
No. 21 Virginia at Virginia Tech, 2 p.m., ACC Network
Clemson at Syracuse, 2 p.m., ESPN2
Georgia Tech at Duke, 4 p.m., ACC Network
Friday’s games
No. 16 Louisville at Stanford, 8 p.m., ACC Network
Notre Dame at California, 11 p.m., ESPN2
Saturday’s games
No. 21 Virginia at N.C. State, 11 a.m., ESPN2
Virginia Tech at Wake Forest, noon, ACC Network
Clemson at Pittsburgh, noon, The CW
Boston College at Georgia Tech, 2 p.m., ACC Network
No. 12 North Carolina at SMU, 2:15, The CW
No. 6 Duke at Florida State, 3:45, CBS
Tuesday, Jan. 6, games
No. 6 Duke at No. 16 Louisville, 7 p.m., ESPN
Syracuse at Georgia Tech, 7 p.m., ACC Network
N.C. State at Boston College, 9 p.m., ACC Network


DateMonth/dayTimeOpponent/event
(current ranks)
TV/
record
October
24FridayL, 78–76vs. No. 10 BYU in SLCExhib.
29WednesdayW, 95–53vs. Winston-Salem St.Exhib.
November
3MondayW, 94–54vs. Central Arkansas1–0
7FridayW, 87–74vs. No. 17 Kansas2–0
11TuesdayW, 89–74vs. Radford3–0
14FridayW, 97–53vs. N.C. Central4–0
18TuesdayW, 73–61vs. Navy5–0
Fort Myers Tip-Off
25TuesdayW, 85–70vs. St. Bonaventure6–0
27ThursdayL, 74–58vs. No. 9 Michigan State6–1
DecemberACC/SEC
Men’s Challenge
2TuesdayW, 67–64at Kentucky7–1
—————————
7SundayW, 81–61vs. Georgetown8–1
13SaturdayW, 80–62vs. USC Upstate9–1
16TuesdayW, 77–58vs. ETSU10–1
CBS Sports Classic
in Atlanta
20SaturdayW, 71–70vs. Ohio State11–1
—————————
22MondayW, 99–51vs. East Carolina12–1
30TuesdayW, 79–66vs. Florida State13–1,
1–0 ACC
January
3Saturday2:15at SMUThe CW
10Saturday6 p.m.vs. Wake ForestACCN
14Wednesday9 p.m.at StanfordACCN
17Saturday4 p.m.at CaliforniaACCN
21Wednesday7 p.m.vs. Notre DameESPN2
24Saturday2 or 2:30at No. 21 VirginiaESPN or
ESPNU
31Saturday2 p.m.at Georgia TechACCN
February
2Monday7 p.m.vs. SyracuseESPN
7Saturday6:30vs. No. 6 DukeESPN
10Tuesday7 p.m.at MiamiESPN or
ESPN2
14Saturday2 p.m.vs. PittsburghESPN
17Tuesday7 p.m.at N.C. StateESPN or
ESPN2
21Saturday1 p.m.at SyracuseABC
23Monday7 p.m.vs. No. 16 LouisvilleESPN
28Saturday6:30 or 8:30vs. Virginia TechESPN or
ESPN2
March
3Tuesday7 p.m.vs. ClemsonESPN or
ESPN2
7Saturday6:30at No. 6 DukeESPN
10–14Tues.-Sat.ACC
tournament
Spectrum Center,
Charlotte

Photo by Joshua Lawton

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