Heels’ NET ranking jumps up after big Quad 1 victory at Virginia

By R.L. Bynum

CHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. — North Carolina’s fourth Quad 1 victory jumped the Tar Heels’ NET rankings to 23, stabilizing the Tar Heels’ NCAA tournament résumé that wasn’t looking good after the two losses in the Bay Area dropped them to 30.

The No. 22 Tar Heels (16–4, 4–3 ACC), with two consecutive wins after losing three of the previous four, evened their Quad 1 record at 4–4 with a come-from-behind 85–80 victory Saturday at No. 14 Virginia (16–3, 5–2). The Cavaliers only fell one spot to 14 in the NET after falling to 4–3 in Quad 1 games.

“It just gives us a reminder of the team that we are,” Seth Trimble said. “Sometimes you can get lost in adversity. You can get lost in tough times. I think that happened to us last week, but we got that reminder.”

A 23 NET ranking would translate to a low No. 6 seed, but that is only one of the metrics that the NCAA tournament selection committee uses in seeding the field. NET rankings will fluctuate throughout the season, and the only quad designation that matters is where your opponents stand on Selection Sunday, not where they ranked when the game was played.


Quadrant 1 (UNC is 6–8): Home games against teams with a NET ranking of 30 or better, neutral-site games against teams ranked 50 or better, and road games against teams ranked 75 or better
Quadrant 2 (UNC is 50): Home 31–75, neutral 51–100, road 76–135
Quadrant 3 (UNC is 8–0): Home 76–160, neutral 101–200, road 135–240
Quadrant 4 (UNC is 5–0): Home 161 or lower, neutral 201 or lower, road 241 or lower


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With Selection Sunday seven weeks away, the average of 81 projections listed on Bracket Matrix, all made before UNC’s win at Virginia, had the Tar Heels as the lowest No. 6 seed. ESPN’s Joe Lunardi has UNC as a No. 6 seed in the South Regional (Houston) and playing Miami of Ohio in a first-round game in Portland, Ore.

A three-game Syracuse losing streak dropped its NET ranking to 79, downgrading UNC’s home game against the Orange on Monday, Feb. 2 (7 p.m., ESPN) from Quad 2 to Quad 3 and moving the Tar Heels’ game at Syracuse on Feb. 21 from Quad 1 to Quad 2. In the last three games, Syracuse (12–8, 3–4) has lost 81–73 at Boston College, 76–74 at home against Virginia Tech and 85–76 at home Saturday against Miami.

UNC next has to avoid damaging losses when it visits Georgia Tech (11–9, 2–5; 145 NET ranking) in a Quad 3 game Saturday (2 p.m., ACC Network) and that Quad 3 game against Syracuse before back-to-back Quad 1 games: Feb. 7 at home against No. 5 Duke (18–1, 7–0; 3) and Feb. 10 at Miami (16–4, 5–2; 37).


UNC’s NCAA résumé

NET ranking: 24
WAB (wins above bubble) rank: 21 (5.37)
High NET: 13 (2 days)
Low NET: 30 (4 days)
Average opponent NET: 93
Average NET win: 113
Average NET loss: 35
NET strength of schedule: 31
KenPom: 29
ESPN’s Basketball Power Index (BPI): 30
Bart Torvik T-Rank: 27


UNC quad schedule breakdown

(Through Saturday games)

DateOpponentNET
ranking
Current quad
designation
Outcome
N3Central Arkansas1664Win
N7Kansas211Win
N11Radford2524Win
N14N.C. Central3424Win
N18Navy1364Win
N25(N) St. Bonaventure1433Win
N27(N) Michigan State111Loss
D2At Kentucky281Win
D7Georgetown903Win
D13USC Upstate3034Win
D16ETSU1393Win
D20(N) Ohio State291Win
D22East Carolina2674Win
D30Florida State622Win
J3At SMU371Loss
J10Wake Forest672Win
J14At Stanford611Loss
J17At California681Loss
J21Notre Dame943Win
J24At Virginia121Win
J31At Georgia Tech1693Win
F2Syracuse863Win
F7Duke11Win
F10At Miami321Loss
F14Pittsburgh1043Win
F17At N.C. State361Loss
F21At Syracuse861Win
F23Louisville161Win
F28Virginia Tech552Win
M3Clemson342Win
M7At Duke11Loss
M12(N) Clemson34 1Loss
Quad designations are according to the current NET rankings. The only designation that matters is the designation on Selection Sunday.

TeamLeagueOverallNET*WAB*
No. 1 Duke17–129–212
No. 10 Virginia15–327–41311
Miami13–524–73228
No. 19 North Carolina12–624–72319
Clemson12–622–93633
No. 24 Louisville11–722–91425
N.C. State10–819–123545
Florida State10–817–146974
California9–921–106549
Stanford9–920–115951
SMU8–1019–123950
Virginia Tech8–1019–125352
Wake Forest7–1116–156481
Syracuse6–1215–168392
Pittsburgh5–1312–19109146
Notre Dame4–1413–1893121
Boston College4–1411–20159217
Georgia Tech2–1611–20167210

* — Through Sunday games
Saturday’s results
No. 1 Duke 76, No. 19 North Carolina 61
Boston College 77, Notre Dame 69
Clemson 79, Georgia Tech 76
No. 24 Louisville 92, Miami 89
Florida State 92, SMU 78
Stanford 85, N.C. State 84
Wake Forest 80, California 73
Pittsburgh 71, Syracuse 69, OT
END OF REGULAR SEASON
ACC tournament
Spectrum Center | Charlotte
Tuesday through Saturday


Non-conference schedule

DateMonth/dayOpponent/event
(final ranks)
OctoberExhibitions
97 p.m. Fridayvs. USC
in Greensboro
185 p.m. Sundayvs. Indiana
in Indianapolis
27Tuesdayvs. Charlotte
NovemberRegular season
2Mondayvs. Western Carolina
6Fridayvs. Wofford
10Tuesdayvs. Wyoming
13Fridayvs. Georgia
20Fridayvs. Marshall
23Mondayvs. Monmouth
27FridayDick Vitale Invitational
vs. West Virginia
in Charlotte
December
1TuesdayACC/SEC Challenge
vs. No. 13 Arkansas
6Sundayvs. Butler
12Saturdayat Georgetown
15TuesdayTobacco Road Classic
vs. N.C. State
in Greensboro
192:30 Saturday,
CBS
CBS Sports Classic
vs. Kentucky
in New York
21Mondayvs. The Citadel
January
30SaturdayNashville Hoops Showdown
vs. No. 5 Illinois
in Nashville, Tenn.

ACC opponents
Home and away: Duke and Louisville
Home only: California, Georgia Tech, Miami, N.C. State, SMU, Stanford and Virginia
Away only: Boston College, Florida State, Notre Dame, Pitt, Syracuse, Virginia Tech and Wake Forest
Don’t play: Clemson

Photo courtesy of UNC Athletics

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