UNC bets big on 3s, still waiting on payoff as most shooting worse than last season

By R.L. Bynum

When North Carolina starts hitting perimeter shots consistently, the No. 14 Tar Heels will become even more dangerous, especially when that outside accuracy complements the strong inside production from Henri Veesaar and Caleb Wilson.

The shooting talent is there. That explains why UNC is launching 25.2 3-pointers per game, only 126th nationally, but the most under Coach Hubert Davis. The problem? Carolina is converting just 31.72%, which is 253rd in the country.

“I felt like we generated really good 3s,” Davis said after the Tar Heels went 9 of 28 from outside the arc in Saturday’s 81–61 home win over Georgetown. “Even in the first half [4 of 15], I thought we had some good looks, we just didn’t knock them down. I’m really looking forward to the day when we’re dominating points in the paint, and we’re hot from 3-point range.”

Based on players’ numbers last season, that day should come. But through nine games, only Veesaar and freshman Derek Dixon are shooting better from outside the arc than they did a season ago.


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— No anger, just heart: Veesaar explains his animated night
— Wilson explains how he’s learning to deal with double teams better


The percentage for every other rotation player has dropped, but Davis said that he expects the overall 3-point percentages to go up.

“Yeah, I do,” he said. “I believe that we have the ability to really shoot the basketball.”

UNC’s pace is a sharp contrast to last season, when the team attempted only 19.2 3s per game, the lowest rate under Davis. His only team that shot worse for a full season than so far this season was the 2022–23 Heels, who missed the NCAA tournament after making just 31.2% from beyond the arc (329th in the country).

The previous high under Davis was during the 2021–22 Final Four season, with Brady Manek, RJ Davis, and Caleb Love, when Carolina averaged 23.5 attempts and hit 35.8% (62nd nationally). That team scored double-digit 3-pointers in 35.8% of its games, compared to 22.2% this season (lowest was 21.2% in 2022–23).

UNC is on pace to make more 3-pointers than its opponents for the fifth consecutive season and have won its last 14 games when making more 3-pointers.


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Veesaar has increased from 32.7% on 3-point attempts at Arizona last season to 44.4% this season, a 11.7 percentage-point rise. Dixon has improved from 38.5% at Gonzaga College High School to 48.0% so far (+9.5%).

Jonathan Powell (35.2% last season at West Virginia and 32.3% this season) is the closest of the rest of the rotation to maintaining his percentage from one season ago.

Here is how the other players stack up, in order of biggest declines:
— Jaydon Young: 29.6% at Virginia Tech; 1 of 7 (14.3%); -15.3%
— Wilson: 34.2% in his senior season at Holy Innocents Episcopal School; 2 of 11 attempts (18.2%); -14%
— Kyan Evans: 44.6% at Colorado State; 12 of 39 (30.8%); -13.7%
— Jarin Stevenson: 30.7% at Alabama; 6 of 27 (22.2%); -8.5%
— Luka Bogavac: 39.8% with SC Derby Podgorica in Adriatic League; 27 of 52 (32.7%); -7.1%

In a limited sample size, Isaiah Denis has made 3 of 4 shots from outside the arc after shooting 35.2% during his senior season at Davidson Day School.

In his two games before an injury, Seth Trimble missed all seven 3-point attempts after shooting 28.6% (25 of 93) last season.

If those numbers start trending upward, the Tar Heels’ offense could reach another level. Davis has made it clear that the foundation will remain inside-out, but when UNC combines inside dominance with reliable perimeter shooting, it becomes a matchup nightmare.


UNC 3-point shooting

Player2024–252025–26DifferenceGames with multiple 3sBest game
Luka Bogavac61 of 153 | 39.8%27 of 52 | 32.7%-7.10%54 of 5 vs. Georgetown
Isaiah Denis35.2%3 of 4 | 75%+39.8%01 of 1
three times
Derek Dixon80 of 208 | 38.5%12 of 25 | 48.0%+9.5%33 of 5 vs. NCCU, Georgetown
Kyan Evans70 of 156 | 44.6%12 of 39 | 30.8%-13.7%34 of 7 vs. Central Arkansas
Jonathan Powell64 of 182 | 35.2%10 of 31 | 32.3%-2.9%32 of 3 at Kentucky
Jarin Stevenson31 of 101 | 30.7%6 of 27 | 22.2%-8.5%01 of 1 vs. Navy
Henri Veesaar16 of 49 | 32.7%8 of 18 | 44.4%+11.7%22 of 3 vs. Georgetown
Caleb Wilson34.2%2 of 11 | 18.2%-14%01 of 1 vs. Central Arkansas
Jaydon Young45 of 152 | 29.6%1 of 7 | 14.3%-15.3%01 of 3 vs. Central Arkansas
Team295 of 829 | 35.6%72 of 22 | 31.7%-3.9%—8 of 18 vs.
St. Bonnie

3-point shooting under Davis

Statistic2025–262024–252023–242022–232021–22
Attempts
per game | national rank
25.2 | 126th19.2 | total 89th22.7 | total 62nd22.8 | total 126th23.5 | total 16th
Percentage | national rank31.72% | 253rd35.6% | 84th35.9% | 74th31.2% | 329th35.8% | 62nd
% of games with 10+ 3s22.2%29.7%24.3%21.2%35.8%

TeamLeagueOverallNET*WAB*
No. 1 Duke17–129–212
No. 10 Virginia15–327–41311
Miami13–524–73228
No. 19 North Carolina12–624–72319
Clemson12–622–93633
No. 24 Louisville11–722–91425
N.C. State10–819–123545
Florida State10–817–146974
California9–921–106549
Stanford9–920–115951
SMU8–1019–123950
Virginia Tech8–1019–125352
Wake Forest7–1116–156481
Syracuse6–1215–168392
Pittsburgh5–1312–19109146
Notre Dame4–1413–1893121
Boston College4–1411–20159217
Georgia Tech2–1611–20167210

* — Through Sunday games
Saturday’s results
No. 1 Duke 76, No. 19 North Carolina 61
Boston College 77, Notre Dame 69
Clemson 79, Georgia Tech 76
No. 24 Louisville 92, Miami 89
Florida State 92, SMU 78
Stanford 85, N.C. State 84
Wake Forest 80, California 73
Pittsburgh 71, Syracuse 69, OT
END OF REGULAR SEASON
ACC tournament
Spectrum Center | Charlotte
Tuesday through Saturday


DateTime/
scores
Month/dayOpponent/event
(final ranks)
TV
OctoberExhibitions
9W, 88–70Fridayvs. USC
in Greensboro
185 p.m. Sundayvs. Indiana
in Indianapolis
B1G+ *
277:30Tuesdayvs. CharlotteACCN Extra
NovemberRegular season
27 p.m.Mondayvs. Western CarolinaACCN
67 p.m.Fridayvs. WoffordACCN
107 p.m.Tuesdayvs. WyomingACCN
137 p.m.Fridayvs. GeorgiaESPN2
209 p.m.Fridayvs. MarshallACCN
237 p.m.Mondayvs. MonmouthACCN
277 p.m.FridayDick Vitale Invitational
vs. West Virginia
in Charlotte
ESPN
December
17:30TuesdayACC/SEC Challenge
vs. No. 13 Arkansas
ESPN
63 p.m.Sundayvs. ButlerESPN2
12NoonSaturdayat GeorgetownPeacock
157 p.m.TuesdayTobacco Road Classic
vs. N.C. State
in Greensboro
ESPN2
192:30SaturdayCBS Sports Classic
vs. Kentucky
in New York
CBS
218 p.m.Mondayvs. The CitadelThe CW
304 p.m.Wednesdayvs. CaliforniaACCN
January
24 p.m.Saturdayat Boston CollegeESPN
or ESPN2
59 p.m.Tuesdayat LouisvilleESPN or
ESPNU
9NoonSaturdayvs. N.C. StateESPN2
137 p.m.Wednesdayat Florida StateESPN2 or
ESPNU
162:15Saturdayvs. StanfordThe CW
199 p.m.Tuesdayvs. No. 17 VirginiaESPN
23NoonSaturdayat SyracuseESPN or
2 or U
267 p.m.Tuesdayvs. SMUESPN or
ESPN2
306 or
6:30
SaturdayNashville Hoops Showdown
vs. No. 5 Illinois
in Nashville, Tenn.
ESPN
February
27 p.m.Tuesdayat Notre DameESPN or
ESPN2
62:15Saturdayvs. Georgia TechThe CW
86 p.m.Mondayvs. LouisvilleESPN
135:30Saturdayat No. 4 DukeABC
207 p.m.Saturdayat Wake ForestACCN
227 p.m.Mondayvs. No. 24 MiamiESPN
277 p.m.Saturdayat Virginia TechESPN
March
29 p.m.Tuesdayat PittsburghESPN or
ESPN2
66 or
6:30
Saturdayvs. No. 4 DukeESPN
9–13Tues.-Sat.ACC tournament
in Greensboro

* — Fans can make a one-time payment of $8.99 to watch the stream of the UNC-Indiana exhibition on the Big Ten Network’s B1G+.

Photo courtesy of UNC Athletics

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