UNC moves up in CFP rankings but path to Orange Bowl gets tougher

By R.L. Bynum

North Carolina, which moved up two spots in the College Football Playoff rankings to No. 15 on Tuesday, has a more difficult path to the Orange Bowl, thanks to Clemson’s blowout loss at Notre Dame.

The Tar Heels (8–1, 5–0 ACC) can clinch the Coastal Division title and an ACC championship game matchup on Dec. 3 in Charlotte with the Tigers if they can win at Wake Forest (6–3, 2–3) at 7:30 Saturday night (ESPN2). Carolina also clinches if Virginia Tech beats Duke and Miami defeats Georgia Tech.

Before the Irish rolled to a 35–13 win over Clemson (8–1, 6–0), which fell to No. 10 in the CFP rankings, the Tigers were on pace to make the CFP. When the Tigers were in the CFP picture, UNC likely could lose to them in the ACC title game and still end up in the Orange Bowl.

Georgia (9–0) is atop the latest CFP rankings after defeating previous No. 1 Tennessee (8–1) 27–3, with Ohio State (9–0) No. 2, Michigan (9–0) No. 3 and TCU (9–0) No. 4.

Other ACC teams in the CFP rankings are No. 16 N.C. State and No. 23 Florida State. Notre Dame is at No. 20 just as it is in the AP poll. While UNC has the same CFP ranking as AP ranking, the Wolfpack’s CFP ranking is one spot higher than its AP ranking and the Seminoles’ CFP ranking is two spots higher.

With Clemson’s CFP chances likely over, the Heels probably will need to beat the Tigers in the ACC title game to get their second Orange Bowl berth in three seasons. Otherwise, it will probably be another Florida bowl with substantially less tradition or prestige and only a corporate name.

Two projections that still have UNC in the Orange Bowl are from Brett McMurphy of the Action Network (facing 7–2 Penn State) and Bill Bender of The Sporting News (7–2 LSU). Both see Clemson ending up in the Dec. 30 Gator Bowl against Mississippi State (6–3).

To make the Friday, Dec. 30 Orange Bowl in Miami Gardens, Fla. (ESPN), Carolina will have to beat Clemson or finish the regular season unbeaten in the ACC and have the Tigers lose another regular-season game. Even in the latter scenario, Clemson’s high college football stature could trump logic.

If Carolina loses in the ACC final, the same scenario as 2015 could play out.

After losing to Clemson 45–37 in the 2015 ACC championship game, UNC played in the first of two annual bowl games in Orlando, Fla. That year, the Heels lost to Baylor 49–38 in the game with nine corporate names since it began as a Miami game in 1990 before moving to Orlando in 2006. That year, the bowl that matches the ACC and the Big 12 was the Russell Athletic Bowl.

In its third season as the Cheez-It Bowl, this year’s game is scheduled for 5:30 p.m. on Thursday, Dec 29 (ESPN). Steve Lassan of Athlon and Jerry Palm of CBS Sports project UNC to face Kansas State (6–3) in that game, with ESPN’s Mark Schlabach predicting Oklahoma State (6–3) as the opponent and ESPN’s Kyle Bonagura predicting the Heels will face Baylor (6–3).

Richard Johnson of Sports Illustrated projects Carolina to face Arkansas (5–4) on Jan. 2 in Tampa, Fla., (ESPN2) in a game under its third name since it started in 1986. Previously called the Outback Bowl since 1995, this season’s game is called the ReliaQuest Bowl.

College Football News sees the Heels facing Central Florida (7–2) in the 11 p.m. Dec. 17 Fenway Bowl and Bleacher Report has them facing Washington (7–2) in the 8 p.m. Dec. 28 Holiday Bowl.

CFP rankings

RankTeamRecordAP ranking
1Georgia9–01
2Ohio State9–02
3Michigan9–03
4TCU9–04
5Tennessee8–15
6Oregon8–16
7LSU7–27
8Southern California8–18
9Alabama7–210
10Clemson8–112
11Mississippi8–111
12UCLA8–19
13Utah7–213
14Penn State7–214
15North Carolina8–115
16N.C. State7–217
17Tulane8–116
18Texas6–318
19Kansas State6–323
20Notre Dame6–320
21Illinois7–221
22Central Florida7–222
23Florida State6–325
24Kentucky6–3Unranked
25Washington7–224

ACC standings

TeamACCAll
X — No. 5 Florida State8–012–0
X — No. 9 Louisville7–110–2
N.C. State6–29–3
Georgia Tech 5–36–6
Virginia Tech5–36–6
Clemson4–48–4
North Carolina4–48–4
Duke4–47–5
Miami3–57–5
Boston College3–56–6
Syracuse2–66–6
Pittsburgh2–63–9
Virginia2–63–9
Wake Forest1–74–8
X — Clinched spot in ACC championship game

Friday’s result
Miami 45, Boston College 20
Saturday’s games
Kentucky 38, No. 9 Louisville 31
Duke 30, Pittsburgh 19
Syracuse 35, Wake Forest 31
No. 1 Georgia 31, Georgia Tech 23
Virginia Tech 55, Virginia 17
Clemson 16, South Carolina 7
No. 5 Florida State 24, Florida 15
N.C. State 39, North Carolina 20
Next Saturday’s ACC championship game in Charlotte
No. 9 Louisville vs. No. 5 Florida State, 8 p.m., ABC


DateMonth/dayTime/scoreLocationOpponent
(current rank)
TV/
record
August
27SaturdayW, 56–24HomeFlorida A&M1–0
September
3SaturdayW, 63–61BooneAppalachian State2–0
10SaturdayW, 35–28AtlantaGeorgia State 3–0
24SaturdayL, 45–32HomeNo. 19
Notre Dame
3–1
October
1SaturdayW, 41–10HomeVirginia Tech 4–1, 1–0 ACC
8SaturdayW, 27–24Miami
Gardens, Fla.
Miami 5–1, 2–0 ACC
15SaturdayW, 38–35DurhamDuke6–1, 3–0 ACC
29SaturdayW, 42–24HomePittsburgh7–1, 4–0 ACC
November
5SaturdayW, 31–28CharlottesvilleVirginia8–1, 5–0 ACC
12SaturdayW, 36–34Winston-SalemWake Forest 9–1, 6–0 ACC
19SaturdayL, 21–17HomeGeorgia Tech 9–2, 6–1 ACC
25FridayL, 30–27,
2 OTs
HomeNo. 25 N.C. State 9–3, 6–2 ACC
DecemberACC championship
3SaturdayL, 39–10CharlotteNo. 10 Clemson9–4
Holiday Bowl
28WednesdayL, 28–27San DiegoNo. 15 Oregon9–5

Photo via @UNCFootball

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