UNC moves up in NET, but most projections still don’t have Heels in men’s field

By R.L. Bynum

After three consecutive ACC victories, North Carolina is up to 45th in the NET rankings and improving its NCAA tournament resume with Selection Sunday a week from Sunday.

The Tar Heels (19–11, 11–8 ACC) have done what they can control with wins over Notre Dame, Virginia and Florida State and have a chance for their second Quad 1 win Saturday at home against Duke, which is 22nd in the NET rankings.

That hasn’t been enough yet for some projections. ESPN and CBS still have UNC in the “first four out” list. Patrick Stevens of The Washington Post has Carolina in his “moving in” list, which is the third list of teams he projects to miss the field.

NCAA quadrant system

Quadrant 1 (UNC is 1–8 in these games): Home games against teams with a NET ranking of 30 or better, neutral-site games against teams ranked 50 or better and road games against teams ranked 75 or better
Quadrant 2 (63): Home 31–75, neutral 51–100, road 76–135
Quadrant 3 (60): Home 76–160, neutral 101–200, road 135–240
Quadrant 4 (60): Home 161 or lower, neutral 201 or lower, road 241 or lower

According to bracketmatrix.com, the predicted seed for UNC in the 15 projections with the Tar Heels in the field is No. 11. That would put UNC in the First Four. Interestingly, the Best Damn Bracket Period website projection would have the Tar Heels advancing to first- and second-round games in Greensboro.

Much of what they can’t control hasn’t been good except for Michigan (55th) and Boston College (158th). The Wolverines are five away from the win in Charlotte being classified as a Quad 1 and the win over the Eagles is now up to a Quad 3 after BC’s win Tuesday at Wake Forest.

Wake Forest has fallen to 86th, which moved UNC’s home win to a Quad 3 and the road loss to a Quad 2. The home win over Miami (34th) is now a Quad 2 by four spots.

If Virginia (29th) falls two more spots, the home win moves from a Quad 1 to a Quad 2. If Virginia Tech (71st) falls five more spots, that loss in Blacksburg goes from a Quad 1 to a Quad 2. The Hokies’ blowout of Louisville improved their NET ranking by three spots.


Quad schedule breakdown

OpponentNET rankingQuadResult
College of Charleston512Win
James Madison913Win
Iowa State261Loss
At Indiana181Loss
At Virginia Tech711Loss
Georgia Tech2054Win
The Citadel3254Win
Ohio State632Win
At Pittsburgh521Loss
Wake Forest863Win
Notre Dame1904Win
At Virginia291Loss
At Louisville3084Win
Boston College1584Win
N.C. State422Win
At Syracuse1122Win
At Duke221Loss
At Wake Forest862Loss
At N.C. State421Loss
At Notre Dame1903Win
At Florida State2184Win

ACC standings

No. 16 Miami15–524–6
No. 13 Virginia15–523–6
No. 25 Pittsburgh14–621–10
N.C. State12–822–9
North Carolina11–919–12
Wake Forest10–1018–13
Boston College9–1115–16
Virginia Tech8–1218–13
Florida State7–139–22
Georgia Tech6–1414–17
Notre Dame3–1711–20

Saturday’s games
Duke 62, North Carolina 57
No. 13 Virginia 75, Louisville 60
Georgia Tech 73, Boston College 65
Virginia Tech 82, Florida State 60
Syracuse 72, Wake Forest 63
No. 26 Miami 78, No. 25 Pittsburgh 76
Clemson 87, Notre Dame 64
End of regular season

(current ranking)
28FridayW, 101–40Johnson C. Smith HomeExhibition
7MondayW, 69–56UNCWHome1–0
11FridayW, 102–86College of CharlestonHome2–0
15TuesdayW, 72–66Gardner-WebbHome3–0
20SundayW, 80–64James MadisonHome4–0
Phil Knight Invitational
24ThursdayW, 89–81First round: PortlandPortland5–0
25FridayL, 70–65Semifinals:
Iowa State
27SundayL, 103–101,
4 OTs
No. 1 Alabama
ACC/Big Ten Challenge
30WednesdayL, 77–65 No. 21 IndianaBloomington, Ind.5–3
4SundayL, 80–72 Virginia TechBlacksburg, Va.5–4,
0–1 ACC
10SaturdayW, 75–59Georgia TechHome6–4,
1–1 ACC
13TuesdayW, 100–67The CitadelHome7–4
CBS Sports Classic
17SaturdayW, 89–84, OTOhio StateNew York8–4
Jumpman Invitational
21WednesdayW, 80–76MichiganCharlotte9–4
30 Friday L, 76–74PittsburghPittsburgh9–5,
1–2 ACC
4WednesdayW, 88–79Wake ForestHome10–5,
2–2 ACC
7SaturdayW, 81–64Notre DameHome11–5,
3–2 ACC
10TuesdayL, 65–58No. 14 VirginiaCharlottesville11–6,
3–3 ACC
14SaturdayW, 80–59LouisvilleLouisville, Ky.12–6,
4–3 ACC
17TuesdayW, 72–64Boston CollegeHome13–6,
5–3 ACC
21SaturdayW, 80–69N.C. StateHome14–6,
6–3 ACC
24TuesdayW, 72–68SyracuseSyracuse, N.Y.15–6,
7–3 ACC
1WednesdayL, 65–64PittsburghHome15–7,
7–4 ACC
4SaturdayL, 63–57No. 12 DukeDurham15–8,
7–5 ACC
7TuesdayL, 92–85Wake ForestWinston-Salem15–9,
7–6 ACC
11SaturdayW, 91–71ClemsonHome 16–9,
8–6 ACC
13MondayL, 80–72No. 16 MiamiHome16–10,
8–7 ACC
19SundayL, 77–69N.C. StateRaleigh16–11,
8–8 ACC
22WednesdayW, 63–59Notre DameSouth Bend, Ind.17–11,
9–8 ACC
25SaturdayW, 71–63No. 14 VirginiaHome18–11,
10–8 ACC
27MondayW, 77–66Florida StateTallahassee, Fla.19–11,
11–8 ACC
4SaturdayL, 62–57No. 12 DukeHome19–12,
11–9 ACC
ACC tournament
8WednesdayW, 85–61Boston CollegeGreensboro20–12
9ThursdayL, 68–59No. 14 Virginia Greensboro20–13

Photo via @UNC_Basketball


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