Four positive trends for No. 8 UNC after starting ACC play 2–0

By R.L. Bynum

Even recognizing that Pittsburgh will probably finish in the lower half of the ACC and might only make the NIT, there were many positive signs for No. 8 North Carolina coming out of the Tar Heels’ victory.

In the 70–57 win, despite shooting a season-low 36.5% and going scoreless for more than six minutes to start the game, UNC continued impressive trends that could be an omen of the potential of Coach Hubert Davis’ third UNC team.

There is a lot to like about how UNC (10–3, 2–0) is playing, including the continued stellar play from RJ Davis, but here are four key areas heading into the Tar Heels visit Saturday (ESPN2) to No. 16 Clemson (11–2, 1–1), which lost Wednesday at Miami 95–82.

Hubert Davis’ constant badgering of the team about the importance of rebounding and boxing out — including a video session after the Kentucky game where the players watched dozens of examples of them failing to box out — clearly has driven home the message.

They haven’t been the dominant rebounding team that fans came to expect out of the double-low-post UNC teams under Dean Smith and Roy Williams. But the Tar Heels have outrebounded their last two opponents (granted, one was Charleston Southern) after failing to do so in their previous three games.

It was impressive to do it by a 51–41 margin with a season-high 16 offensive rebounds and a 15–1 edge in second-chance points against Pittsburgh, which still leads the ACC in rebounding margin (+7.9).

Harrison Ingram led the way with a career-high 15 rebounds.

Carolina’s defensive intensity keeps getting better, as they held Pittsburgh to a season-low 36.5% shooting, the lowest by an opponent since Notre Dame shot 33.3% last season.

Holding Blake Hinson, the Panthers’ leading scorer, to 11 points on 4 of 16 shooting — mostly thanks to Harrison Ingram’s defense — was impressive. Even when players such as Elliot Cadeau and RJ Davis got switched on to Hinson, he had a tough time scoring.

Since making only 59.1% of their free-throw attempts in the loss to UConn, Carolina is shooting 80.9%, including 86.1% in the last two games.

Carolina has shot at least 80% from the line eight times already this season after doing it nine times all of last season.

RJ Davis is the most accurate free-throw shooter in program history, with his 86.5% easily topping Shammond Williams’ previous best of 84.8% from 1994 to 1998. Davis, who tied a school record by making 41 consecutive attempts earlier this season, has only missed at the line three times, and leads the ACC at 94.9%, with Cormac Ryan third at 91.2%.

In a post on his Bless your chart Substack blog, Chris Gallo of Dadgum Box Scores pointed out the most impressive of the trends, one that could be an exciting omen for UNC fans.

Carolina scored 1.03 points per possession against Pittsburgh, and Gallo notes that the Tar Heels have been over one point per possession in every game this season after scoring at least a point per possession in 72.2% of the games over Davis’ first two seasons.

The 13 games with at least a point per possession tops the total of Coach Davis’ first two seasons combined (12).

Gallo’s research shows that this is deepest into a season the Tar Heels have at least a point per possession in every game since 2016, when UNC did it for the first 22 games on its way to the NCAA championship game.

Further, he points out that the 2009 national-championship team never got below a point per possession, with the season-worst 89 points in 89 possessions in a 92–89 loss to Wake Forest.

Replicating that could lead to an exciting March run.


UNC season statistics


ACC standings

TeamLeagueOverall
No. 4 North Carolina17–325–6
No. 11 Duke15–524–7
Virginia13–722–9
Pittsburgh12–821–10
Clemson11–921–10
Syracuse11–920–11
Wake Forest11–919–12
Virginia Tech10–1018–13
Florida State10–1016–15
N.C. State9–1117–13
Boston College8–1217–14
Georgia Tech7–1214–17
Notre Dame7–1312–19
Miami6–1415–16
Louisville3–178–22

Saturday’s games
No. 4 North Carolina 84, No. 11 Duke 79
Virginia Tech 82, Notre Dame 76
Florida State 83, Miami 75
Boston College 67, Louisville 61
Wake Forest 81, Clemson 76
Pittsburgh 81, N.C. State 73
Virginia 72, Georgia Tech 57
ACC tournament
March 12–16, Capitol One Arena, Washington


DateMonth/dayScoreOpponent/event
(current ranks)
Record
October
27FridayW, 117–53vs. St. Augustine’sExhibition
November
6MondayW, 86–70vs. Radford1–0
12SundayW, 90–68vs. Lehigh2–0
17FridayW, 77–52vs. UC Riverside3–0
Battle 4 Atlantis
in the Bahamas
22WednesdayW, 91–69Northern Iowa4–0
23ThursdayL, 83–81, OTVillanova4–1
24FridayW, 87–72Arkansas5–1
ACC/SEC
Men’s Challenge
29WednesdayW, 100–92vs. No. 6 Tennessee6–1
December
2SaturdayW, 78–70vs. Florida State7–1,
1–0 ACC
Jimmy V Classic
in New York
5TuesdayL, 87–67No. 1 Connecticut7–2
CBS Sports Classic
in Atlanta
16SaturdayL, 87–83No. 12 Kentucky7–3
Jumpman Invitational
in Charlotte
20WednesdayW, 81–69Oklahoma8–3
—————————
29FridayW, 105–60vs. Charleston Southern9–3
January
2TuesdayW, 70–57at Pittsburgh10–3, 2–0 ACC
6SaturdayW, 65–55at Clemson11–3, 3–0 ACC
10WednesdayW, 67–54at N.C. State12–3, 4–0 ACC
13SaturdayW, 103–67vs. Syracuse13–3, 5–0 ACC
17WednesdayW, 86–70vs. Louisville14–3, 6–0 ACC
20SaturdayW, 76–66vs. Boston College15–3, 7–0 ACC
22MondayW, 85–64vs. Wake Forest16–3, 8–0 ACC
27SaturdayW, 75–68at Florida State17–3, 9–0 ACC
30TuesdayL, 74–73at Georgia Tech17–4, 9–1 ACC
February
3SaturdayW, 93–84vs. No. 13 Duke18–4, 10–1 ACC
6TuesdayL, 80–76vs. Clemson18–5, 10–2 ACC
10SaturdayW, 75–72at Miami19–5, 11–2 ACC
13TuesdayL, 86–79at Syracuse19–6, 11–3 ACC
17SaturdayW, 96–81vs. Virginia Tech20–6, 12–3 ACC
24SaturdayW, 54–44at Virginia21–6, 13–3 ACC
26MondayW, 75–71vs. Miami22–6, 14–3 ACC
March
2SaturdayW, 79–70vs. N.C. State23–6, 15–3 ACC
5TuesdayW, 84–51vs. Notre Dame24–6, 16–3 ACC
9SaturdayW, 84–79at No. 13 Duke25–6, 17–3 ACC
ACC tournament
Washington
14ThursdayW, 92–67Quarterfinals:
Florida State
26–6
15FridayW, 72–65Semifinals:
Pittsburgh
27–6
16SaturdayL, 84–76Final:
N.C. State
27–7
NCAA tournament
21ThursdayW, 90–62First round in Charlotte:
Wagner
28–7
23SaturdayW, 85–69Second round in Charlotte:
Michigan State
29–7
28ThursdayL, 89–87Sweet 16 in Los Angeles:
No. 19 Alabama
29–8

Photo via @UNC_Basketball

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