Four positive trends for No. 8 UNC after starting ACC play 2–0

By R.L. Bynum

Even recognizing that Pittsburgh will probably finish in the lower half of the ACC and might only make the NIT, there were many positive signs for No. 8 North Carolina coming out of the Tar Heels’ victory.

In the 70–57 win, despite shooting a season-low 36.5% and going scoreless for more than six minutes to start the game, UNC continued impressive trends that could be an omen of the potential of Coach Hubert Davis’ third UNC team.

There is a lot to like about how UNC (10–3, 2–0) is playing, including the continued stellar play from RJ Davis, but here are four key areas heading into the Tar Heels visit Saturday (ESPN2) to No. 16 Clemson (11–2, 1–1), which lost Wednesday at Miami 95–82.

Hubert Davis’ constant badgering of the team about the importance of rebounding and boxing out — including a video session after the Kentucky game where the players watched dozens of examples of them failing to box out — clearly has driven home the message.

They haven’t been the dominant rebounding team that fans came to expect out of the double-low-post UNC teams under Dean Smith and Roy Williams. But the Tar Heels have outrebounded their last two opponents (granted, one was Charleston Southern) after failing to do so in their previous three games.

It was impressive to do it by a 51–41 margin with a season-high 16 offensive rebounds and a 15–1 edge in second-chance points against Pittsburgh, which still leads the ACC in rebounding margin (+7.9).

Harrison Ingram led the way with a career-high 15 rebounds.

Carolina’s defensive intensity keeps getting better, as they held Pittsburgh to a season-low 36.5% shooting, the lowest by an opponent since Notre Dame shot 33.3% last season.

Holding Blake Hinson, the Panthers’ leading scorer, to 11 points on 4 of 16 shooting — mostly thanks to Harrison Ingram’s defense — was impressive. Even when players such as Elliot Cadeau and RJ Davis got switched on to Hinson, he had a tough time scoring.

Since making only 59.1% of their free-throw attempts in the loss to UConn, Carolina is shooting 80.9%, including 86.1% in the last two games.

Carolina has shot at least 80% from the line eight times already this season after doing it nine times all of last season.

RJ Davis is the most accurate free-throw shooter in program history, with his 86.5% easily topping Shammond Williams’ previous best of 84.8% from 1994 to 1998. Davis, who tied a school record by making 41 consecutive attempts earlier this season, has only missed at the line three times, and leads the ACC at 94.9%, with Cormac Ryan third at 91.2%.

In a post on his Bless your chart Substack blog, Chris Gallo of Dadgum Box Scores pointed out the most impressive of the trends, one that could be an exciting omen for UNC fans.

Carolina scored 1.03 points per possession against Pittsburgh, and Gallo notes that the Tar Heels have been over one point per possession in every game this season after scoring at least a point per possession in 72.2% of the games over Davis’ first two seasons.

The 13 games with at least a point per possession tops the total of Coach Davis’ first two seasons combined (12).

Gallo’s research shows that this is deepest into a season the Tar Heels have at least a point per possession in every game since 2016, when UNC did it for the first 22 games on its way to the NCAA championship game.

Further, he points out that the 2009 national-championship team never got below a point per possession, with the season-worst 89 points in 89 possessions in a 92–89 loss to Wake Forest.

Replicating that could lead to an exciting March run.


UNC season statistics


TeamLeagueOverallNET*
No. 3 Duke0–011–02
California0–010–163
No. 12 North Carolina0–010–115
No. 23 Virginia0–09–121
Miami0–010–233
Virginia Tech0–010–255
No. 11 Louisville0–09–217
SMU0–09–243
Stanford0–08–297
Clemson0–09–331
Notre Dame0–09–364
Wake Forest0–09–359
N.C. State0–08–434
Georgia Tech0–07–4188
Syracuse0–07–495
Pittsburgh0–06–6152
Boston College0–05–6185
Florida State0–05–6149

* — Through Thursday games

Friday’s games
Mississippi Valley State at Florida State, 7 p.m., ACCN Extra
Morgan State at California, 10 p.m., ACCN Extra
Saturday’s games
Montana at No. 11 Louisville, noon, ACCN Extra
Lafayette at Georgia Tech, 2 p.m., ACCN Extra
Elon at Virginia Tech, 2 p.m., ACCN Extra
Ohio State vs. No. 12 North Carolina at CBS Sports Classic in Atlanta, 3 p.m., CBS
Northeastern at Syracuse, 4 p.m., ACCN Extra
Maryland at No. 23 Virginia, 6 p.m., ESPN
No. 3 Duke at No. 16 Texas Tech, 8 p.m., ESPN
Stanford at Colorado, 8 p.m., ESPNU
Sunday’s games
Penn State vs. Pittsburgh in Hershey, Pa., noon, Big Ten Network
Ole Miss vs. N.C. State in Greensboro, 1 p.m., ESPN
No. 13 Vanderbilt at Wake Forest, 1 p.m., The CW
Purdue Ft. Wayne at Notre Dame, 2 p.m., ACCN Extra
Central Arkansas at SMU, 2 p.m., ACCN Extra
Cincinnati vs. Clemson in Greenville, S.C., 3 p.m., ESPN
North Florida at Miami, 4 p.m., ACC Network
Columbia at California, 5 p.m., ACCN Extra
Monday’s games
American at Virginia, 6 p.m., ACCN Extra
Jacksonville at Florida State, 7 p.m., ACCN Extra
Stonehill at Syracuse, 7 p.m., ACCN Extra
Fairleigh Dickinson at Boston College, 7 p.m., ACCN Extra
East Carolina at No. 12 North Carolina, 8 p.m., ACC Network


DateMonth/dayTimeOpponent/event
(current ranks)
TV/
record
October
24FridayL, 78–76vs. No. 10 BYU in SLCExhib.
29WednesdayW, 95–53vs. Winston-Salem St.Exhib.
November
3MondayW, 94–54vs. Central Arkansas1–0
7FridayW, 87–74vs. No. 17 Kansas2–0
11TuesdayW, 89–74vs. Radford3–0
14FridayW, 97–53vs. N.C. Central4–0
18TuesdayW, 73–61vs. Navy5–0
Fort Myers Tip-Off
25TuesdayW, 85–70vs. St. Bonaventure6–0
27ThursdayL, 74–58vs. No. 9 Michigan State6–1
DecemberACC/SEC
Men’s Challenge
2TuesdayW, 67–64at Kentucky7–1
—————————
7SundayW, 81–61vs. Georgetown8–1
13SaturdayW, 80–62vs. USC Upstate9–1
16TuesdayW, 77–58vs. ETSU10–1
CBS Sports Classic
in Atlanta
20Saturday3 p.m.vs. Ohio StateCBS
—————————
22Monday8 p.m.vs. East CarolinaACCN
30Tuesday7 p.m.vs. Florida StateESPN2
January
3Saturday2:15at SMUThe CW
10Saturday6 p.m.vs. Wake ForestACCN
14Wednesday9 p.m.at StanfordACCN
17Saturday4 p.m.at CaliforniaACCN
21Wednesday7 p.m.vs. Notre DameESPN2
24Saturday2 or 2:30at No. 23 VirginiaESPN or
ESPNU
31Saturday2 p.m.at Georgia TechACCN
February
2Monday7 p.m.vs. SyracuseESPN
7Saturday6:30vs. No. 3 DukeESPN
10Tuesday7 p.m.at MiamiESPN or
ESPN2
14Saturday2 p.m.vs. PittsburghESPN
17Tuesday7 p.m.at N.C. StateESPN or
ESPN2
21Saturday1 p.m.at SyracuseABC
23Monday7 p.m.vs. No. 11 LouisvilleESPN
28Saturday6:30 or 8:30vs. Virginia TechESPN or
ESPN2
March
3Tuesday7 p.m.vs. ClemsonESPN or
ESPN2
7Saturday6:30at No. 3 DukeESPN
10–14Tues.-Sat.ACC
tournament
Spectrum Center,
Charlotte

Photo via @UNC_Basketball

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