What are the latest NCAA projections and the ACC No. 1 seed scenarios?

By R.L. Bynum

There is more agreement in bracket projections that No. 7 North Carolina will be the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Regional, but there are plenty of opportunities for the Tar Heels to change that in the next two weeks.

A week after Jerry Palm’s CBS projection had the league-leading Tar Heels (23–6, 15–3) as the No. 1 seed in the West Regional, he is now projecting No. 4 Tennessee (23–6; which UNC beat 100–92 on Nov. 29) in that spot.

Palm now agrees with Joe Lunardi’s continued ESPN projection of UNC as the No. 2 seed in Boston at the Eastern Regional, with No. 2 UConn (26–3; which beat UNC 87–76 on Dec. 5) as that region’s No. 1 seed.

The average of 104 projections on Bracket Matrix has the Tar Heels as the second No. 2 seed behind Caleb Love’s No. 5 Arizona team (23–6), with Tennessee as the fourth No. 1 seed. Only two of those 104 projections — Bazinga Bracketology and Busted Bracketology — have UNC as a No. 1 seed.

After Duke (24–6, 15–4) won at N.C. State 79–64 on Monday night, the Blue Devils leapfrogged UNC in the NET rankings, with Duke now ninth and UNC 10th.


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Carolina can clinch at least a share of the ACC regular-season title with a victory at 7 p.m. Tuesday over Notre Dame. UNC would clinch the title outright and the No. 1 seed in next week’s ACC tournament by coupling a win over the Irish with a victory at Duke at 6:30 Saturday.

If UNC and Duke finish tied for first place, the No. 1 seed in the ACC tournament would go to:

— Carolina if Pittsburgh (19–10, 10–8) or Wake Forest (18–11, 10–8) finish in third place (or tied for third place).
— Duke if Syracuse (20–10, 11–8) or Clemson (20–9, 10–8) are in third place (or tied for third place).
— Duke if Clemson, Wake Forest, Syracuse and Pittsburgh finish tied for fourth place, and Boston College (15–14, 6–12), Georgia Tech (13–16, 6–12) and Notre Dame (12–17, 7–11) finish tied for 12th place.

In relevant Tuesday games, Syracuse visits Clemson, Georgia Tech (13–16, 6–12) is at Wake Forest and Florida State (15–14, 9–9) is at Pittsburgh. On Saturday, Clemson is at Wake Forest, N.C. State (17–13, 9–10) visits Pittsburgh and Georgia Tech is at Virginia (21–9).


TeamLeagueOverallNET*WAB*
No. 1 Duke17–129–212
No. 10 Virginia15–327–41311
Miami13–524–73228
No. 19 North Carolina12–624–72319
Clemson12–622–93633
No. 24 Louisville11–722–91425
N.C. State10–819–123545
Florida State10–817–146974
California9–921–106549
Stanford9–920–115951
SMU8–1019–123950
Virginia Tech8–1019–125352
Wake Forest7–1116–156481
Syracuse6–1215–168392
Pittsburgh5–1312–19109146
Notre Dame4–1413–1893121
Boston College4–1411–20159217
Georgia Tech2–1611–20167210

* — Through Sunday games
Saturday’s results
No. 1 Duke 76, No. 19 North Carolina 61
Boston College 77, Notre Dame 69
Clemson 79, Georgia Tech 76
No. 24 Louisville 92, Miami 89
Florida State 92, SMU 78
Stanford 85, N.C. State 84
Wake Forest 80, California 73
Pittsburgh 71, Syracuse 69, OT
END OF REGULAR SEASON
ACC tournament
Spectrum Center | Charlotte
Tuesday through Saturday


UNC schedule

DateMonth/dayOpponent/event
(final ranks)
OctoberExhibitions
97 p.m. Friday,
ACCN
vs. USC
in Greensboro
185 p.m. Sundayvs. Indiana
in Indianapolis
277:30 Tuesday,
ACCN Extra
vs. Charlotte
NovemberRegular season
2Mondayvs. Western Carolina
6Fridayvs. Wofford
10Tuesdayvs. Wyoming
13Fridayvs. Georgia
20Fridayvs. Marshall
23Mondayvs. Monmouth
27Friday,
7 p.m.
Dick Vitale Invitational
vs. West Virginia
in Charlotte
December
1Tuesday,
7:30, ESPN2
ACC/SEC Challenge
vs. No. 13 Arkansas
6Sundayvs. Butler
12Saturday
afternoon
at Georgetown
157 p.m. TuesdayTobacco Road Classic
vs. N.C. State
in Greensboro
192:30 Saturday,
CBS
CBS Sports Classic
vs. Kentucky
in New York
21Mondayvs. The Citadel
30Wednesdayvs. California
January
2Saturdayat Boston College
57 p.m. Tuesdayat Louisville
9Saturdayvs. N.C. State
13Wednesdayat Florida State
16Saturdayvs. Stanford
19Tuesdayvs. No. 17 Virginia
23Saturdayat Syracuse
26Tuesdayvs. SMU
30SaturdayNashville Hoops Showdown
vs. No. 5 Illinois
in Nashville, Tenn.
February
2Tuesdayat Notre Dame
6Saturdayvs. Georgia Tech
8Monday,
7 p.m, ESPN
vs. Louisville
13Saturdayat No. 4 Duke
20Saturdayat Wake Forest
22Monday,
7 p.m, ESPN
vs. No. 24 Miami
27Saturdayat Virginia Tech
March
2Tuesdayat Pittsburgh
6Saturdayvs. No. 4 Duke
9–13Tues.-Sat.ACC tournament
in Greensboro

Photo via @UNC_Basketball

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