UNC one of five hosts with tougher No. 2 seed in its region than deserved

By R.L. Bynum

No. 6-ranked North Carolina is one of five regional hosts in the NCAA baseball tournament that drew a No. 2 seed with a much-higher RPI than is logical for its seed.

Granted, RPI is only one metric that the selection committee uses. However, the fairest way to allocate the No. 2 seeds would be for the No. 1 overall seed to be assigned the 16th-highest RPI No. 2 seed and the No. 16 overall seed to draw the highest RPI No. 2 seed.

The latter is true: Wake Forest, which has the best RPI of any No. 2 regional seed, is in the Greenville Region, where top-seed East Carolina is the No. 16 overall seed.

The committee wasn’t kind to Kentucky, the No. 2 overall seed. The No. 2 seed in its region should have had the 15th-best RPI among the 2 seeds. But, instead, it got Indiana State (RPI 10), which has the second-highest.

The Tar Heels, the No. 4 overall seed, are one of five regional hosts drawing a No. 2 seed with an RPI higher than the host deserved to get. In addition to Kentucky:

— No. 1-seed Tennessee should have the 16th-best RPI No. 2 seed, but Southern Miss (RPI 26) has the 11th-best RPI among No. 2 seeds.
— No. 4-seed UNC should have the 13th-best RPI No. 2 seed, but got the reigning national champion LSU (RPI 23), with the eighth-best RPI among No. 2 seeds.
— No. 6-seed Clemson should have the 11th-best RPI No. 2 seed, but drew Vanderbilt (RPI 20), the sixth-best among No. 2 seeds
— No. 9-seed Oklahoma should have the 8th-best RPI No. 2 seed, but has Duke (RPI 16), with the third-best RPI among No. 2 seeds.

On the other end of the spectrum, the NCAA’s tendency to group teams from the same region gave some regional hosts a break:
— No. 15 seed Oregon State should have the second-highest RPI team as its No. 2 seed but drew the 12th-highest RPI No. 2 seed in UC Irvine (RPI 27).
— No. 11 seed Oklahoma State, which should have gotten the sixth-highest RPI team among No. 2 seeds, instead drew Nebraska, with the 13th-best RPI (28).
— No. 7 Georgia — widely considered to be in the easiest region — should have gotten the 10th-highest RPI No. 2 seed but instead got UNCW, which has the 15th-highest among No. 2 seeds (34).

Giving teams short regional trips saves the NCAA money since it pays for travel expenses. But it comes at the expense of fair seeding.

The ACC has four pools. It gives the top seed the No. 2 seed with the worst regular-season ACC record, then snakes through to allocate the seeds for each pool.

As the ACC tournament’s No. 1 seed, UNC also had the No. 3 seed with the worst ACC record. No. 2-seed Clemson had the No. 2 seed with the second-worst record and the No. 3 seed with the second-worst record.

It may never happen, but the NCAA should create its regional fields like the ACC creates pools for its tournament, which would make it more equitable.


Allocation of NCAA No. 2 seeds

Overall
seed
TeamNo. 2 seed
in region
RPI of
No. 2 seed
Rank among
No. 2 seeds
Difference from logical placement
No. 2KentuckyIndiana State10No. 2+13
No. 1TennesseeSouthern Miss26No. 11+5
No. 4UNCLSU23No. 8+5
No. 6ClemsonVanderbilt20No. 6+5
No. 9OklahomaDuke16No. 3+5
No. 16East CarolinaWake Forest9No. 10
No. 10N.C. StateSouth Carolina21No. 70
No. 8Florida StateAlabama24No. 90
No. 13ArizonaDallas Baptist17No. 40
No. 3Texas A&MLouisiana38No. 16-1
No. 5ArkansasLouisiana Tech29No. 14-2
No. 14UC Santa BarbaraSan Diego19No. 5-2
No. 12VirginiaMississippi State25No. 10-5
No. 7GeorgiaGeorgia Tech34No. 15-5
No. 11Oklahoma StateNebraska28No. 13-7
No. 15Oregon StateUC Irvine27No. 12-10

Chapel Hill Regional

At Boshamer Stadium
Friday’s results

No. 1 North Carolina 4, Holy Cross 0
No. 2 Oklahoma 7, No. 3 Nebraska 4
Saturday’s results
Nebraska 4, Holy Cross 1; Holy Cross eliminated
North Carolina 11, Oklahoma 5
Sunday’s results
Oklahoma 17, Nebraska 1; Nebraska eliminated
Oklahoma 9, North Carolina 5
Monday’s result
North Carolina 14, Oklahoma 4
UNC (45–13) advances to Super Regional against No. 21-ranked Arizona (42–18), which won the Eugene Regional on Sunday night with a 14–0 win over Cal Poly. Game 1 of the best-of-3 series is Friday at Boshamer Stadium.


UNC scores

Date(s)Day/
month
ScoresOpponent
(current rank)
Record
February
14–15Fri.-Sat.W, 5–1; W, 8–3;
W, 4–2
vs. Texas Tech3–0
18TuesdayW, 12–9vs. Kansas State4–0
22–24Sat.-Mon.W, 2–0; W, 11–6;
W, 6–4
vs. East Carolina
(DBAP, CH, G’ville)
7–0
25TuesdayW, 7–4vs. VCU8–0
26WednesdayW, 13–4vs. N.C. A&T9–0
28FridayW, 16–2vs. Stony Brook10–0
March
1–2Sat.-Sun.W, 6–1; W, 9–5vs. Stony Brook12–0
4TuesdayW, 6–4 (11)vs. No. 11
Coastal Carolina
13–0
7–9Fri.-Sun.L, 13–9;
W, 11–1 (7); L, 7–0
vs. Stanford14–2,
1–2 ACC
11TuesdayW, 7–3 (10)at UNCW15–2
14, 16Fri., Sun.L, 8–7; W, 6–4;
L, 5–0
at Louisville16–4, 2–4
19WednesdayL, 5–1vs. UConn16–5
21–23Fri.-Sun.W, 5–1; L, 3–2;
W, 10–0 (7)
at Boston College18–6, 4–5
25TuesdayW, 13–8vs. South Carolina
in Charlotte
19–7
28–30Fri.-Sun.W, 2–0; W, 4–2;
L, 4–2
vs. Miami21–7, 6–6
April
1TuesdayW, 11–1 (7)vs. Gardner-Webb22–7
3–5Thur.-Sat.W, 4–3; L, 9–5;
W, 8–7 (14)
vs. Duke24–8, 8–7
8TuesdayW, 12–10at Elon25–8
11–13Fri.-Sun.W, 11–1 (7);
W, 17–1 (7); W, 3–2
vs. Wake Forest28–8, 11–7
15TuesdayW, 14–4 (8)vs. Charlotte29–8
18–20Fri-Sun.W, 9–6; L, 10–6:
W, 7–5
at Virginia Tech31–9, 13–8
25–27Fri.-Sun.W, 15–5; L, 4–2;
W, 6–0
at Pittsburgh33–10, 15–9
29TuesdayW, 13–4vs. George Mason34–10
30WednesdayW, 14–3vs. Queens35–10
May
6TuesdayW, 10–1vs. Campbell36–10
8–9Thurs.-Fri.W, 8–1; L, 8–5vs. N.C. State37–11, 16–10
15–17Thurs.-Sat.W, 8–3;
W, 11–1 (7); L, 5–4
at No. 7 Florida State39–12, 18–11
ACC tournamentDurham
23FridayQuarterfinal: W, 7–3Boston College40–12
24SaturdaySemifinal: W, 7–5No. 7 Florida State41–12
25SundayFinal: W, 14–4No. 14 Clemson 42–12
Chapel Hill Regional
30FridayW, 4–0Holy Cross43–12
31SaturdayW, 11–5Oklahoma44–12
June
1SundayL, 9–5Oklahoma44–13
2MondayW, 14–4Oklahoma45–13
Chapel Hill
Super Regional
Best-of-3 series
6FridayW, 18–2No. 21 Arizona 46–13
7SaturdayL, 10–8No. 21 Arizona46–14
8SundayL, 4–3No. 21 Arizona46–15

Photo courtesy of UNC Athletics

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