UNC one of five hosts with tougher No. 2 seed in its region than deserved

By R.L. Bynum

No. 6-ranked North Carolina is one of five regional hosts in the NCAA baseball tournament that drew a No. 2 seed with a much-higher RPI than is logical for its seed.

Granted, RPI is only one metric that the selection committee uses. However, the fairest way to allocate the No. 2 seeds would be for the No. 1 overall seed to be assigned the 16th-highest RPI No. 2 seed and the No. 16 overall seed to draw the highest RPI No. 2 seed.

The latter is true: Wake Forest, which has the best RPI of any No. 2 regional seed, is in the Greenville Region, where top-seed East Carolina is the No. 16 overall seed.

The committee wasn’t kind to Kentucky, the No. 2 overall seed. The No. 2 seed in its region should have had the 15th-best RPI among the 2 seeds. But, instead, it got Indiana State (RPI 10), which has the second-highest.

The Tar Heels, the No. 4 overall seed, are one of five regional hosts drawing a No. 2 seed with an RPI higher than the host deserved to get. In addition to Kentucky:


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— No. 1-seed Tennessee should have the 16th-best RPI No. 2 seed, but Southern Miss (RPI 26) has the 11th-best RPI among No. 2 seeds.
— No. 4-seed UNC should have the 13th-best RPI No. 2 seed, but got the reigning national champion LSU (RPI 23), with the eighth-best RPI among No. 2 seeds.
— No. 6-seed Clemson should have the 11th-best RPI No. 2 seed, but drew Vanderbilt (RPI 20), the sixth-best among No. 2 seeds
— No. 9-seed Oklahoma should have the 8th-best RPI No. 2 seed, but has Duke (RPI 16), with the third-best RPI among No. 2 seeds.

On the other end of the spectrum, the NCAA’s tendency to group teams from the same region gave some regional hosts a break:
— No. 15 seed Oregon State should have the second-highest RPI team as its No. 2 seed but drew the 12th-highest RPI No. 2 seed in UC Irvine (RPI 27).
— No. 11 seed Oklahoma State, which should have gotten the sixth-highest RPI team among No. 2 seeds, instead drew Nebraska, with the 13th-best RPI (28).
— No. 7 Georgia — widely considered to be in the easiest region — should have gotten the 10th-highest RPI No. 2 seed but instead got UNCW, which has the 15th-highest among No. 2 seeds (34).

Giving teams short regional trips saves the NCAA money since it pays for travel expenses. But it comes at the expense of fair seeding.

The ACC has four pools. It gives the top seed the No. 2 seed with the worst regular-season ACC record, then snakes through to allocate the seeds for each pool.

As the ACC tournament’s No. 1 seed, UNC also had the No. 3 seed with the worst ACC record. No. 2-seed Clemson had the No. 2 seed with the second-worst record and the No. 3 seed with the second-worst record.

It may never happen, but the NCAA should create its regional fields like the ACC creates pools for its tournament, which would make it more equitable.


Allocation of NCAA No. 2 seeds

Overall
seed
TeamNo. 2 seed
in region
RPI of
No. 2 seed
Rank among
No. 2 seeds
Difference from logical placement
No. 2KentuckyIndiana State10No. 2+13
No. 1TennesseeSouthern Miss26No. 11+5
No. 4UNCLSU23No. 8+5
No. 6ClemsonVanderbilt20No. 6+5
No. 9OklahomaDuke16No. 3+5
No. 16East CarolinaWake Forest9No. 10
No. 10N.C. StateSouth Carolina21No. 70
No. 8Florida StateAlabama24No. 90
No. 13ArizonaDallas Baptist17No. 40
No. 3Texas A&MLouisiana38No. 16-1
No. 5ArkansasLouisiana Tech29No. 14-2
No. 14UC Santa BarbaraSan Diego19No. 5-2
No. 12VirginiaMississippi State25No. 10-5
No. 7GeorgiaGeorgia Tech34No. 15-5
No. 11Oklahoma StateNebraska28No. 13-7
No. 15Oregon StateUC Irvine27No. 12-10

Chapel Hill Regional

At Boshamer Stadium
Friday’s results

No. 1 North Carolina 4, Holy Cross 0
No. 2 Oklahoma 7, No. 3 Nebraska 4
Saturday’s results
Nebraska 4, Holy Cross 1; Holy Cross eliminated
North Carolina 11, Oklahoma 5
Sunday’s results
Oklahoma 17, Nebraska 1; Nebraska eliminated
Oklahoma 9, North Carolina 5
Monday’s result
North Carolina 14, Oklahoma 4
UNC (45–13) advances to Super Regional against No. 21-ranked Arizona (42–18), which won the Eugene Regional on Sunday night with a 14–0 win over Cal Poly. Game 1 of the best-of-3 series is Friday at Boshamer Stadium.


UNC scores

Date(s)Day/
month
TimesOpponent
(current rank)
February
13–15Fri.-Sat.4, noon, 1 vs. Indiana
17Tuesday4 p.m.vs. Richmond
18Wednesday4 p.m.vs. Longwood
20–22Fri.-Sun.4 (Greenville),
2 (DBAP), 2 (CH)
vs. East Carolina
24Tuesday4 p.m.vs. N.C. A&T
25Wednesday4 p.m.vs. VCU
27–28Fri., Sat.4 p.m., 2 p.m.vs. Le Moyne
March
1Sunday1 p.m.vs. Le Moyne
3Tuesday4 p.m.vs. Elon
6–8Fri.-Sun.4, 2, 1vs. Virginia
10Tuesday4 p.m.vs. Bucknell
13–15Fri.-Sun.9, 5, 4at California
18Wednesday4 p.m.vs. UNCG
20–22Fri.-Sun.8, 2, 1vs. No. 8
Louisville
24Tuesday6:30vs. South Carolina
in Charlotte
27–29Fri.-Sun.6:30, 3, 1at Notre Dame
31Tuesday8 p.m.vs. Campbell
April
2–4Thur.-Sat.6, 6, 2vs. Boston College
7Tuesday7 p.m.vs. Charlotte
10–12Fri.-Sun.6, 2, 12:30at No. 19
Clemson
14Tuesday6 p.m.vs. UNCW
17–19Fri-Sun.6, noon, 1vs. No. 5
Georgia Tech
21Tuesday6 p.m.vs. High Point
23–25Fri.-Sun.7, 6, 3at Duke
28Tuesday7 p.m.vs. No. 6
Coastal Carolina
29Wednesday6 p.m.vs. Queens
May
3Sunday2 p.m.
(non-conference game)
vs. Duke
6Wednesday6 p.m.vs. Winthrop
8–10Fri.-Sun.6, noon, 1vs. Pittsburgh
12Tuesday6 p.m.at UNCW
14–16Thurs.-Sat.7, 6, 1at No. 17
N.C. State
19–24Tues.-Sun.ACC tournamentCharlotte
29–31Fri.-Sun.NCAA RegionalsCampus sites
June
5–7Fri.-Sun.NCAA Super RegionalsCampus sites
12–22Fri.-MonCollege World SeriesOmaha, Neb.

Photo courtesy of UNC Athletics

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