How do UNC’s incoming transfers rate compared to players who transferred out?

By R.L. Bynum

College basketball is becoming increasingly similar to pro basketball in many ways, so why not examine transfer portal transactions in the same light?

Carolina lost five players to the men’s basketball transfer portal and brought in five. What if you looked at that as a five-for-five trade? How did the Tar Heels fare?

There are other intangible factors at play, but you can compare the groups by using the player rating that 247Sports assigns to all players who enter the transfer portal.

This doesn’t account for five-star freshman wing Caleb Wilson, whose 99 rating is higher than any of the 10 players in this transfer discussion. However, the metric suggests that the trade would have been fairly even, with UNC coming up on the short end.

While the five players who transferred out have an average rating of 93.4, the five players transferring to UNC have an average rating of 92.2. The margin narrows if you only look at the top four players in each group — the outgoing group would be at 94 compared to 93.25 for the incoming group.

That doesn’t account for UNC going from an undersized center in 6–8 Ven-Allen Lubin to a taller center with a higher ceiling in 7–0 Arizona transfer center Henri Veesaar.

Here’s how that group of five players would be matched up ratings-wise, going from highest to lowest:
— St. John’s-bound guard Ian Jackson is at 98 while Veesaar (top photo) is at 96.
— Michigan-bound point guard Elliot Cadeau is at 94, while Colorado State point guard transfer Kyan Evans is at 93.
— The next two players in both groups are at 92: Vanderbilt-bound Jalen Washington, N.C. State-bound Lubin, Alabama transfer Jarin Stevenson and West Virginia transfer Jonathan Powell.
— The lowest-rated players in the two groups are Cade Tyson, who will play at Minnesota, with a 91, and Virginia Tech transfer Jaron Young at 88.

Team-wise, 247Sports ranked Carolina’s nine newcomers, including the three freshmen and Luca Bogavac, as the No. 7 group of newcomers in the country.

Where are the former Tar Heels’ teams in that ranking? Cadeau’s Wolverines are No. 10, Lubin’s Wolfpack are No. 14, Jackson’s Red Storm are No. 21, Washington’s Commodores are No. 60 and Tyson’s Gophers are No. 77.


No.ClassPlayerPos.HgtWgt
8FreshmanCaleb Wilson (5 star)46–10215
5FreshmanIsaiah Denis (4 star)CG6–4180
3FreshmanDerek Dixon (4 star)CG6–5200
40SophomoreIvan Matlekovic57–0255
11SophomoreJonathan PowellG6–6190
2SophomoreJames Brown 56–10240
1SophomoreZayden High46–10230
44JuniorLuca Bogavac
(BO-guh-VAHTS)
W6–6215
4JuniorJaydon Young26–4200
13RS juniorHenri Veesaar
(VEH-sar)
57–0225
0JuniorKyan Evans16–2175
15JuniorJarin Stevenson46–10215
7SeniorSeth Trimble26–3200
Walk-ons
25SophomoreJohn Holbrook46–8230
32JuniorEvan Smith26–1195
6RS seniorElijah Davis26–3205

Former UNC players who transferred

PlayerClass next seasonPos.HgtWgtNext school
Elliot CadeauJuniorPG6–1180Michigan
Jalen WashingtonSeniorC6–10235Vanderbilt
Ian JacksonSophomoreG6–4190St. John’s
Cade TysonSeniorF6–7200Minnesota
Ven-Allen LubinSeniorC6–8230N.C. State

DateMonth/dayTimeOpponent/event
(current ranks)
TV/
record
October
24FridayL, 78–76vs. No. 10 BYU in SLCExhib.
29WednesdayW, 95–53vs. Winston-Salem St.Exhib.
November
3MondayW, 94–54vs. Central Arkansas1–0
7FridayW, 87–74vs. No. 17 Kansas2–0
11TuesdayW, 89–74vs. Radford3–0
14FridayW, 97–53vs. N.C. Central4–0
18TuesdayW, 73–61vs. Navy5–0
Fort Myers Tip-Off
25TuesdayW, 85–70vs. St. Bonaventure6–0
27ThursdayL, 74–58vs. No. 9 Michigan State6–1
DecemberACC/SEC
Men’s Challenge
2TuesdayW, 67–64at Kentucky7–1
—————————
7SundayW, 81–61vs. Georgetown8–1
13SaturdayW, 80–62vs. USC Upstate9–1
16TuesdayW, 77–58vs. East Tennessee
State
10–1
CBS Sports Classic
in Atlanta
20Saturday3 p.m.vs. Ohio StateCBS
—————————
22Monday8 p.m.vs. East CarolinaACCN
30Tuesday7 p.m.vs. Florida StateESPN2
January
3Saturday2:15at SMUThe CW
10Saturday6 p.m.vs. Wake ForestACCN
14Wednesday9 p.m.at StanfordACCN
17Saturday4 p.m.at CaliforniaACCN
21Wednesday7 p.m.vs. Notre DameESPN2
24Saturday2 or 2:30at No. 23 VirginiaESPN or
ESPNU
31Saturday2 p.m.at Georgia TechACCN
February
2Monday7 p.m.vs. SyracuseESPN
7Saturday6:30vs. No. 3 DukeESPN
10Tuesday7 p.m.at MiamiESPN or
ESPN2
14Saturday2 p.m.vs. PittsburghESPN
17Tuesday7 p.m.at N.C. StateESPN or
ESPN2
21Saturday1 p.m.at SyracuseABC
23Monday7 p.m.vs. No. 11 LouisvilleESPN
28Saturday6:30 or 8:30vs. Virginia TechESPN or
ESPN2
March
3Tuesday7 p.m.vs. ClemsonESPN or
ESPN2
7Saturday6:30at No. 3 DukeESPN
10–14Tues.-Sat.ACC
tournament
Spectrum Center,
Charlotte

Photo via @UNC_Basketball

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