By R.L. Bynum

Duke (5–6, 5–3 ACC) at North Carolina (4–6, 2–4)
Parking lots open: 11:30 a.m.
Old Well Walk: 1 p.m., starts at the Old Well, runs through Polk Place and around the Bell Tower to the Kenan Football Center.
Chapel Thrill Concert Series: St. Paul & The Broken Bones, a soul ensemble, will perform a free show at Polk Place in front of Wilson Library at 1:30.
Gates open: 2 p.m.
Marching band performance at The Pit: 2:30 p.m.
Team entrance: 3:25 p.m.
Game time: 3:30 p.m.
TV: ACC Network: Wes Durham play-by-play, Steve Addazio analyst, Dana Boyle sideline reporter
Radio: Tar Heel Sports Network (affiliates list; streams on the Varsity Network app);
Jones Angell play-by-play, Bryn Renner analyst and Lee Pace sideline reporter
Weather: Partly cloudy, around 74° at kickoff, light west wind (7 mph), 15% chance of rain
Line: Duke -6½
UNC vs. the spread: 5–5 — covered vs. Charlotte -17½ (20–3 win), Richmond -28½ (41–6 win), California +3½ (21–18 loss ) and Virginia +6½ (17–16 loss) and at Syracuse +2½ (27–10 win); failed to cover against TCU +10½ (48–14 loss), UCF +13½ (34–9 loss), Clemson -14½ (38–10 loss), Stanford -7½ (20–15 win) and Wake Forest -5½ (28–12 loss)
Moneylines: Duke -255, UNC +210
Over/under: 51½
Series: UNC leads 66–41–4; Duke won last year 21–20 in Durham, breaking a five-game UNC streak
Stakes: The Victory Bell; Duke is a win away from bowl eligibility; UNC must beat Duke, then win at N.C. State on Nov. 29 to become bowl-eligible
Common opponents: Syracuse (both won on road: Duke 38–3, UNC 27–10), Cal (both on road: Duke won 45–21, UNC lost 21–18), Clemson (Duke won on road 46–45, UNC lost at home 38–10) and Virginia (both lost at home: Duke 34–17 an UNC 17–16 in OT)

Numbers of note

Duke:
— Lost two straight (Virginia 34–17, UConn before that)
— Offense sputtered against Virginia (255 total yards)
— Season averages: 33.4 points, 432.7 yards (302.9 pass, 129.8 rush)
— Defense ranks 119th nationally (419.8 yards allowed: 273.3 pass, 146.5 rush)
— QB Darian Mensah: 3,007 yards, 25 TDs, 4 INTs, 68% completions
— RB Nate Sheppard: 700 yards, 7 TDs.
— WR Cooper Barkaten (top photo): 869 yards, 6 TDs

UNC:
— Lost to Wake Forest 28–12; failed to score a TD, only generated 257 yards total.
— Season averages: 18.7 points, 289.9 yards (180.8 pass, 109.1 rush).
— Defense: 330.0 yards allowed (215.9 pass, 114.1 rush), 22.0 points (43rd nationally)
— QB Gio Lopez: 1,425 yards, 8 TDs, 5 INTs
— RB Demon June: 452 yards, 2 TDs
— WR Jordan Shipp: 498 yards, 4 TDs

What to watch

UNC defense vs. Duke passing attack
UNC’s secondary (ranked 61st nationally) faces Mensah, one of the ACC’s most efficient QBs. Belichick emphasized avoiding coverage mistakes because Mensah “makes you pay.”
Duke offensive line vs. UNC defensive front
Duke allowed four sacks against Virginia; UNC’s front (led by Khmori House and Melkart Abou Jaoude) could exploit that.
Red-zone efficiency
UNC ranks 126th in red-zone offense (72.4% scoring), while Duke’s red-zone defense is last (92.9% allowed).
Turnovers
Duke +4 margin (32nd nationally); UNC -2 (89th). Ball security will be critical.

Notes

— Defensive back Thad Dixon didn’t appear on the ACC injury report, suggesting that he should play on Saturday.
— Carolina will face Wake Forest, Duke and N.C. State in consecutive games for the third time in program history. UNC went 2–1 in the two other seasons, in 1933 and 1999.
— Duke hasn’t won consecutive games against UNC since winning three in a row from 2016 to 2018.
— The Blue Devils haven’t won at Kenan Stadium since a 27–17 win on Sept. 23, 2017.
— UNC defensive linemen Melkart Abou Jaoude leads the ACC in sacks with 10 and Tyler Thompson is third with seven. Abou Jaoude has 22 tackles and 8½ sacks in the last four games. His 10 sacks are the most by a Tar Heel since Kareem Martin’s 11½ sacks in 2013.
— Duke’s 432.7 yards of offense per game is fourth-best in the ACC.
— Carolina running back Demon June is second among ACC freshmen with 452 yards rushing.
— UNC’s run defense is fifth in the ACC in league games, allowing 100 yards per game. The Tar Heels held opponents under 100 yards rushing in three consecutive ACC games for the first time since 2009. Opponents have averaged 3.0 yards per rush in league games.
— Carolina is third in the ACC in fewest penalties, with 56.
— The Tar Heels are averaging 5.6 penalties per game, which is fourth in the conference.

Team	ACC	All
No. 16 Virginia	7–1	10–2
No. 12 Miami	6–2	10–2
No. 25 SMU	6–2	8–4
No. 24 Georgia Tech	6–2	9–3
Pittsburgh	6–2	8–4
Duke	6–2	7–5
Louisville	4–4	8–4
Wake Forest	4–4	8–4
California	4–4	7–5
Clemson	4–4	7–5
N.C. State	4–4	7–5
Stanford	3–5	4–8
Florida State	2–6	5–7
North Carolina	2–6	4–8
Virginia Tech	2–6	3–9
Syracuse	1–7	3–9
Boston College	1–7	2–10

Friday’s result
No. 4 Georgia 16, No. 24 Georgia Tech 9
Saturday’s results
N.C. State 42, North Carolina 19
No. 12 Miami 38, Pittsburgh 7
Louisville 41, Kentucky 0
Clemson 28, South Carolina 14
Boston College 34, Syracuse 12
Duke 49, Wake Forest 32
Florida 40, Florida State 21
No. 16 Virginia 27, Virginia Tech 7
California 38, No. 25 SMU 35
No. 9 Notre Dame 49, Stanford 20
Saturday’s ACC championship game
No. 16 Virginia vs. Duke in Charlotte, 8 p.m., ABC

Month/ date	Score/ time	Opponent	Record/ TV
September
1	L, 48–14	vs. TCU	0–1
6	W, 20–3	at Charlotte	1–1
13	W, 41–6	vs. Richmond	2–1
20	L, 34–9	at UCF	2–2
October
4	L, 38–10	vs. Clemson	2–3, 0–1 ACC
17 (Fri.)	L, 21–18	at California	2–4, 0–2
25	L, 17–16, OT	vs. No. 16 Virginia	2–5, 0–3
31 (Fri.)	W, 27–10	at Syracuse	3–5, 1–3
November
8	W, 20–15	vs. Stanford	4–5, 2–3
15	L, 28–12	at Wake Forest	4–6, 2–4
22	L, 32–25	vs. Duke	4–7, 2–5
29	L, 42–19	at N.C. State	4–8, 2–6